trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -15.6% | -23.7% | 60% | 0% | -17.0% |
| ≤30d | 18 | -44.6% | -49.8% | 22% | 6% | -50.1% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -44.6% | -49.8% | 22% | 6% | -50.1% |
| all | 18 | -44.6% | -49.8% | 22% | 6% | -50.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -49.8% | 6% | -50.1% |
| 10% | -54.6% | 6% | -54.9% |
| 15% | -59.0% | 6% | -59.2% |
| 20% | -63.0% | 6% | -63.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 23 | $2 | −$1 | -53% |
| Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30? | Jun 20 | $56 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Jun 20 | $56 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | Jun 20 | $56 | +$2 | +3% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Jun 17 | $71 | −$22 | -32% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026? | Jun 14 | $50 | −$24 | -48% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 14 | $78 | −$39 | -49% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | Jun 12 | $102 | −$2 | -2% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me | Jun 09 | $3 | −$3 | -95% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | Jun 09 | $5 | −$5 | -95% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | Jun 09 | $3 | −$3 | -95% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me | Jun 09 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | Jun 09 | $75 | −$24 | -32% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca | Jun 08 | $354 | −$290 | -82% |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Jun 08 | $44 | +$43 | +96% |
| Ethereum flipped in 2026? | Jun 03 | $31 | −$8 | -25% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 01 | $65 | −$65 | -100% |
| Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)? | Jun 01 | $14 | −$9 | -64% |