Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:30:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DF
0xdf79…3dcd
crypto · 28 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$716 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,015 · open −$2,112
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$9,138
Realized+$3,015
Unrealized−$2,112
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses11 / 13
Whale WR (big bets)17%
Open positions4
Markets (closed)24 / 28
Avg bet$2,859
Trades / day3449.0
Drawdown8%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 24 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3,015
7 days+$3,015
14 days+$3,015
30 days+$3,015
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 55¢ 100¢ $1,470 $2,647 +$1,177 (+80%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $992 $1,970 +$978 (+99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $1,250 $1,262 +$12 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $1,250 $1,238 −$12 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 50¢ 52¢ $1,000 $1,050 +$50 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 50¢ 48¢ $1,000 $950 −$50 (-5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1,058 $11 −$1,047 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1,012 $10 −$1,002 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $3,356 −$78 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $3,302 −$49 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2,898 +$123 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2,036 −$33 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $3,451 −$93 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $3,163 −$8 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $3,433 −$101 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2,077 −$14 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $3,204 −$6 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $3,165 +$60 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $3,284 −$19 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $2,923 +$87 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $2,876 +$164 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $2,919 +$179 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $3,188 +$148 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $3,288 −$116 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $3,079 −$4 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $3,014 +$116 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $3,220 −$56 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $3,281 −$21 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $3,113 +$119 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $3,341 +$5 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $2,855 +$67 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $240 +$2,545 +1063%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$903
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $15 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $15 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $15 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $44 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $44 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $14 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $19 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $42 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $43 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $23 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Up 6¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $16 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 4m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)+31.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 +45.0% +31.2% 46% 4% -5.7%
≤30d 24 +45.0% +31.2% 46% 4% -5.7%
≤90d 24 +45.0% +31.2% 46% 4% -5.7%
all 24 +45.0% +31.2% 46% 4% -5.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3449.0 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +31.2% 4% -5.7%
10% +18.6% 4% -14.7%
15% ← realistic here +7.2% 4% -22.9%
20% -3.3% 4% -30.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9,137.62 · official $9,137.62 (match) · 3500 history records