trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -3.1% | -12.3% | 62% | 12% | -8.2% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +0.7% | -8.8% | 75% | 25% | -8.1% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +5.0% | -5.0% | 79% | 29% | -8.0% |
| all | 15 | -2.0% | -11.3% | 73% | 27% | -8.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.3% | 27% | -8.2% |
| 10% | -19.8% | 7% | -17.0% |
| 15% | -27.6% | 7% | -25.0% |
| 20% | -34.7% | 7% | -32.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 76¢ | 76¢ | $121 | $120 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 88¢ | 88¢ | $65 | $65 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 97¢ | 97¢ | $32 | $32 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $32 | $32 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? | Jun 18 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 18 | $6 | −$3 | -48% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 18 | $3 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Jun 18 | $36 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 18 | $31 | −$4 | -14% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 18 | $106 | +$8 | +8% |
| Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Jun 18 | $9 | +$1 | +16% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | Jun 18 | $13 | +$1 | +9% |
| Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026? | May 24 | $2 | $0 | +14% |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs | May 24 | $3 | $0 | +17% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15? | May 24 | $105 | +$3 | +3% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | May 24 | $104 | $0 | +0% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 15 | $1 | +$1 | +60% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | May 09 | $3 | $0 | +2% |
| LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO5) - LCP Pl | Feb 28 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |