Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:47:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DF
0xdf9d…525f
crypto · 32 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$59
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses8 / 18
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions6
Markets (closed)26 / 32
History coverage2d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day36.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 6 History 26 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $30 $30 −$0 (-1%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 12¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+4%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 7¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-11%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 14 $5 −$1 -24%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $5 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -98%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $31 −$9 -28%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $15 −$9 -57%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 13 $10 +$1 +7%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $4 +$71 +1725%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -28%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$4 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -0%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $3 +$3 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$9 +163%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 53% −$46
crypto 36% −$22
sports 10% +$69
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $30 3m
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? SELL Yes 16¢ $4 10m
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 20¢ $5 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 8¢ $4 1h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 9¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 2h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 10¢ $5 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 2h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 23¢ $3 2h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 9¢ $3 2h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 53¢ $6 3h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 35¢ $5 3h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 3h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 45¢ $5 3h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 17¢ $4 3h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 23¢ $5 4h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 31¢ $5 4h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $5 4h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 41¢ $10 4h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 29¢ $0 4h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 30¢ $3 4h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 42¢ $5 4h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 42¢ $5 4h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 49¢ $5 4h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 23¢ $5 4h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 22¢ $5 4h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $5 5h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 10¢ $5 5h
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)+16.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 +28.5% +16.3% 31% 19% -4.6%
≤30d 26 +28.5% +16.3% 31% 19% -4.6%
≤90d 26 +28.5% +16.3% 31% 19% -4.6%
all 26 +28.5% +16.3% 31% 19% -4.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +16.3% 19% -4.6%
10% ← realistic here +5.2% 19% -13.7%
15% -5.0% 15% -22.1%
20% -14.3% 15% -29.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $59.40 · official $59.40 (match) · 84 history records