Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:39:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DF
0xdfab…049c
crypto · 1246 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$203 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$204 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$204
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses489 / 706
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1195 / 1246
History coverage7d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day389.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1195 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,264
7 days−$421
14 days−$204
30 days−$204
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 36¢ 44¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+22%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,370
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1149 -8.4% -17.1% 40% 37% -16.2%
≤30d 1195 -5.7% -14.6% 41% 38% -12.5%
≤90d 1195 -5.7% -14.6% 41% 38% -12.5%
all 1195 -5.7% -14.6% 41% 38% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover389.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 38% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 35% -20.9%
15% -30.3% 33% -28.5%
20% -37.1% 29% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4.89 · official $3.21 · 3500 history records