Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:26:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DF
0xdfb6…67ed
sports · 1062 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$515 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$426 · open +$89
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$315
Realized+$426
Unrealized+$89
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses467 / 583
Est. fees paid−$91
Open positions12
Markets (closed)1050 / 1062
History coverage195d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day11.7
Drawdown64%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 12 History 1050 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$46
7 days+$326
14 days+$513
30 days+$528
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 39¢ 100¢ $39 $100 +$61 (+156%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 32¢ 64¢ $32 $64 +$32 (+102%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 34¢ 46¢ $24 $33 +$9 (+37%)
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 6¢ $19 $30 +$12 (+61%)
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 3¢ 4¢ $20 $22 +$2 (+10%)
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $18 $16 −$2 (-8%)
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5) Paraguay 7¢ 8¢ $14 $15 +$1 (+7%)
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) Bosnia and Herzegovina 7¢ 6¢ $14 $11 −$3 (-21%)
Will Brazil score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $11 $10 −$1 (-6%)
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $14 $6 −$9 (-60%)
Will The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $9 $4 −$5 (-56%)
Will PARIVISION win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $12 $2 −$10 (-79%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $16 −$13 -79%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 12 $28 −$27 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $124 −$108 -87%
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5) Jun 12 $14 +$26 +194%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $26 +$24 +92%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $39 +$31 +79%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $28 −$26 -93%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $45 +$25 +56%
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 12 $33 −$24 -74%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 12 $37 +$63 +170%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $18 +$12 +67%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 12 $25 −$24 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $21 +$19 +90%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $21 −$18 -86%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $65 +$16 +25%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $33 −$4 -11%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5) Jun 12 $15 +$25 +170%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5) Jun 12 $23 +$5 +20%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $100 +$168 +168%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $6 +$3 +62%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $39 −$39 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $31 −$30 -96%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $28 +$46 +163%
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 11 $16 +$29 +175%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $11 +$9 +85%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $32 +$18 +56%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $19 −$6 -30%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $22 −$22 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $51 −$51 -100%
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 11 $64 −$64 -100%
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 11 $48 +$78 +164%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $32 −$32 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $118 −$118 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $66 −$43 -66%
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 11 $2 +$1 +37%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $30 +$73 +247%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 11 $24 +$16 +67%
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 10 $11 −$10 -90%
Spread: Portugal (-2.5) Jun 10 $34 −$32 -93%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5) Jun 10 $18 −$18 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $19 +$44 +228%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $162 +$88 +54%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) Jun 10 $28 −$28 -100%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5) Jun 10 $11 −$11 -100%
Spread: Venezuela (-1.5) Jun 10 $11 +$36 +337%
Spread: Venezuela (-2.5) Jun 10 $6 +$16 +274%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 10 $21 +$55 +261%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 84% +$588
crypto 9% −$61
other 6% +$51
finance 1% −$64
politics 0% −$1
world 0% +$3
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Legacy 7¢ $3 9m
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) SELL Legacy 1¢ $1 9m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 34¢ $10 21m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 34¢ $14 21m
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 32¢ $16 23m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 39¢ $40 1h
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 7¢ $14 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 7¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 7¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 7¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 7¢ $7 1h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Legacy 55¢ $28 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY BetBoom Team 32¢ $32 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL PARIVISION 4¢ $2 2h
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) SELL PARIVISION 8¢ $9 3h
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) SELL FUT Esports 0¢ $0 3h
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) SELL FUT Esports 4¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 54¢ $49 4h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 54¢ $54 4h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 54¢ $21 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 55¢ $28 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 56¢ $39 5h
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) BUY FUT Esports 25¢ $3 5h
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) BUY FUT Esports 25¢ $2 5h
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) BUY FUT Esports 25¢ $0 5h
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) BUY FUT Esports 25¢ $14 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $7 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $19 5h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 2¢ $3 5h
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) BUY FUT Esports 25¢ $6 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 128 +22.3% +10.6% 45% 45% -1.2%
≤30d 289 +16.7% +5.6% 48% 48% +0.2%
≤90d 504 -1.1% -10.5% 42% 41% -3.6%
all 1050 -2.0% -11.4% 44% 43% -4.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover11.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.4% 43% -4.9%
10% -19.8% 40% -14.0%
15% -27.6% 36% -22.3%
20% -34.7% 30% -29.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $314.91 · official $293.66 · 2816 history records