Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:55:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DF
0xdfba…72fc
crypto · 1318 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$493 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,100 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,100
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses659 / 706
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1365 / 1318
History coverage21d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day138.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1365 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,843
7 days−$5,479
14 days−$4,716
30 days−$4,100
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$5 -114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$1,798
politics 1% −$11
sports 0% $0
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-17.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 628 -54.4% -58.7% 23% 22% -71.1%
≤30d 1365 -8.3% -17.0% 48% 46% -35.6%
≤90d 1365 -8.3% -17.0% 48% 46% -35.6%
all 1365 -8.3% -17.0% 48% 46% -35.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover138.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.0% 46% -35.6%
10% ← realistic here -25.0% 43% -41.8%
15% -32.2% 40% -47.4%
20% -38.9% 37% -52.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records