Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:16:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DF
0xdfe9…64db
other · 132 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$6 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$52
Realized−$1
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses19 / 57
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions56
Markets (closed)76 / 132
History coverage106d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day1.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit36%
Chart Positions 56 History 76 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days+$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? Yes 11¢ 12¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+14%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 30¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? Yes 6¢ 7¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? Yes 21¢ 22¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? Yes 27¢ 28¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+6%)
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25? Yes 27¢ 28¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? Yes 29¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 22¢ 22¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? Yes 21¢ 20¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? Yes 20¢ 20¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? Yes 20¢ 20¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26? Yes 28¢ 27¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1 +$5 +442%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-23? May 23 $1 −$1 -98%
Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-17? May 18 $1 +$2 +172%
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-05-17? May 18 $1 +$2 +158%
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-05-17? May 18 $1 +$8 +786%
Will Paris FC win on 2026-05-17? May 18 $1 +$5 +442%
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-05-17? May 18 $1 +$2 +206%
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13? May 13 $1 +$3 +250%
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets May 11 $1 $0 +38%
Will Port Vale FC win on 2026-04-04? Apr 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-04? Apr 08 $1 +$7 +733%
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? Apr 02 $2 −$2 -100%
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines Apr 01 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Albania win on 2026-03-26? Mar 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats Mar 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-03-26? Mar 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers Mar 28 $1 −$1 -100%
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils Mar 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-03-26? Mar 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-03-26? Mar 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Ukraine win on 2026-03-26? Mar 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Romania win on 2026-03-26? Mar 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Will North Macedonia win on 2026-03-26? Mar 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Kosovo win on 2026-03-26? Mar 27 $1 +$3 +257%
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators Mar 23 $1 +$5 +454%
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Houston Cougars Mar 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Seattle Redhawks vs. Auburn Tigers Mar 23 $1 −$1 -100%
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils Mar 23 $1 −$1 -100%
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Mar 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats Mar 23 $1 −$1 -100%
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini Mar 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverines Mar 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Furman Paladins vs. Connecticut Huskies Mar 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Tennessee State Tigers vs. Iowa State Cyclones Mar 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini Mar 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Idaho Vandals vs. Houston Cougars Mar 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers Mar 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs Mar 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliers Mar 21 $1 −$1 -100%
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks Mar 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Mar 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteers Mar 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Storm Mar 21 $1 −$1 -100%
LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats Mar 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Florida Gators Mar 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 63% +$24
sports 30% −$24
world 4% −$2
tech 3% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 1h
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 1h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 1h
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 1h
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? BUY Yes 23¢ $1 1h
Will Australia win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 27¢ $1 3d
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 3d
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 3d
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 3d
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 3d
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24? BUY Yes 23¢ $1 3d
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 3d
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 3d
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 3d
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 3d
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 3d
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 3d
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 3d
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 3d
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 3d
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 29¢ $1 3d
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 3d
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 3d
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 3d
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 3d
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 3d
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 3d
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 3d
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 3d
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -9.6% -18.2% 17% 17% -16.6%
≤30d 12 +133.9% +111.6% 50% 50% +114.3%
≤90d 67 -15.8% -23.8% 19% 18% -24.1%
all 76 -0.4% -9.9% 25% 21% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.9% 21% -10.4%
10% -18.5% 21% -19.0%
15% -26.4% 21% -26.8%
20% -33.6% 20% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $51.88 · official $51.88 (match) · 205 history records