Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:46:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E0
0xe000…c35b
crypto · 16 markets active 1h ago
6.0score
+$90 +179%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$90 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$90
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses7 / 9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)16 / 16
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day25.0
Drawdown12%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 0 History 16 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$90
7 days+$90
14 days+$90
30 days+$90
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$4 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$18 +841%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$10 +490%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$16 +756%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$19 +365%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 +$49 +980%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 80% +$45
other 20% +$45
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $3 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 6¢ $1 1h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $4 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $5 18h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $54 18h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 9¢ $5 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)+142.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 +167.8% +142.3% 44% 44% +163.2%
≤30d 16 +167.8% +142.3% 44% 44% +163.2%
≤90d 16 +167.8% +142.3% 44% 44% +163.2%
all 16 +167.8% +142.3% 44% 44% +163.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +142.3% 44% +163.2%
10% ← realistic here +119.1% 44% +138.0%
15% +98.0% 31% +115.0%
20% +78.5% 31% +93.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 30 history records