Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:59:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E0
0xe008…f7d3
crypto · 651 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$456 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$535 · open +$73
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$330
Realized−$535
Unrealized+$73
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses353 / 284
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions15
Markets (closed)637 / 651
History coverage73d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day38.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 15 History 637 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$150
7 days−$123
14 days−$36
30 days+$188
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 12? No 40¢ 56¢ $108 $150 +$43 (+40%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 12? No 57¢ 62¢ $75 $81 +$7 (+9%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 26¢ 42¢ $39 $63 +$24 (+62%)
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 3¢ 5¢ $6 $11 +$5 (+77%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 12? Yes 6¢ 7¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+20%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 52¢ 54¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 3¢ 6¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+123%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 12? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-13%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 13¢ 12¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-12%)
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 6¢ 5¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-9%)
Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 9¢ 2¢ $4 $1 −$4 (-83%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No 73¢ 24¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-66%)
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 12? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-93%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $90 +$11 +13%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $49 −$42 -86%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 11? Jun 12 $20 −$19 -93%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 +$6 +140%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on Jun Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $19 −$11 -57%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $4 −$3 -86%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 11? Jun 12 $11 −$3 -26%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$4 +39%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju Jun 11 $22 −$16 -75%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on Ju Jun 11 $3 −$2 -60%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 10? Jun 10 $72 −$72 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 9? Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 10 $25 $0 -1%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $10 +$5 +45%
Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on June 8? Jun 09 $53 +$7 +12%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on Ju Jun 08 $32 −$30 -94%
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 08 $28 −$28 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 8? Jun 08 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 8? Jun 08 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on June 8? Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on Jun Jun 08 $2 +$19 +1252%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on Jun Jun 08 $3 +$102 +2952%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on Jun Jun 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 8? Jun 08 $2 −$2 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 7? Jun 07 $43 +$5 +12%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on June 7? Jun 07 $2 −$2 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 7? Jun 07 $1 −$1 -49%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on Jun Jun 07 $15 $0 -0%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on Jun Jun 07 $75 +$1 +2%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on Jun Jun 07 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on Jun Jun 07 $4 −$4 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 6? Jun 07 $9 +$41 +459%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 6? Jun 06 $5 −$2 -48%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju Jun 06 $19 −$12 -62%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $19 −$9 -47%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6? Jun 06 $45 +$35 +76%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 5? Jun 06 $13 −$13 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju Jun 06 $3 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 6? Jun 06 $2 −$2 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 51°F or below on June 6? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -91%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on June 6? Jun 06 $2 −$2 -81%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ju Jun 06 $2 −$2 -82%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on June 6? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -77%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on June 6? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -76%
Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 05 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 05 $33 −$33 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 49% −$443
crypto 26% −$34
weather 24% +$13
politics 1% −$2
sports 0% +$6
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju SELL No 63¢ $10 3m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju SELL No 62¢ $1 3m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju SELL No 63¢ $6 3m
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 36m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju BUY Yes 5¢ $1 38m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju SELL No 75¢ $8 41m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju SELL No 77¢ $4 41m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju BUY Yes 7¢ $4 43m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju BUY No 58¢ $103 45m
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 12? SELL No 52¢ $14 52m
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 12? BUY Yes 4¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 12? BUY No 40¢ $124 1h
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 69¢ $101 1h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 2h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 2h
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 3¢ $3 2h
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 2¢ $3 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 29¢ $14 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 25¢ $26 2h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 3¢ $7 2h
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 4¢ $5 3h
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 4¢ $0 3h
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 4¢ $0 4h
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 8h
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 9h
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on Jun SELL Yes 96¢ $5 11h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 21¢ $10 12h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 21¢ $10 12h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 12? SELL Yes 6¢ $8 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-15.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 +16.5% +5.4% 24% 20% -26.0%
≤30d 130 +14.6% +3.7% 25% 20% -7.3%
≤90d 637 -6.0% -15.0% 55% 10% -13.9%
all 637 -6.0% -15.0% 55% 10% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover38.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.0% 10% -13.9%
10% ← realistic here -23.1% 7% -22.2%
15% -30.5% 6% -29.7%
20% -37.3% 5% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $330.38 · official $327.71 (match) · 3500 history records