Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:15:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E0
0xe00a…330e
weather · 589 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,564 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,820 · open +$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,013
Realized−$1,820
Unrealized+$8
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses284 / 301
Whale WR (big bets)79%
Est. fees paid−$209
Open positions4
Markets (closed)585 / 589
History coverage69d
Avg bet$85
Trades / day17.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 4 History 585 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$77
7 days−$3,601
14 days−$3,010
30 days−$3,010
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m? Yes 82¢ 82¢ $825 $835 +$10 (+1%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Los Angeles Dodgers 64¢ 64¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Houston Astros 48¢ 48¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-1%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Texas Rangers 50¢ 48¢ $30 $29 −$1 (-3%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Arizona Diamondbacks 57¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Arizona Diamondbacks 51¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Milwaukee Brewers 74¢ 0¢ $1,560 $0 −$1,560 (-100%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 57¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Miami Marlins 45¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Baltimore Orioles 55¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Washington Nationals 49¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Los Angeles Dodgers 66¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $25 +$14 +57%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $20 +$16 +79%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $20 +$20 +97%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $56 −$20 -36%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $20 −$20 -99%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $51 −$50 -98%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $101 −$100 -99%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $151 +$63 +42%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $121 +$79 +65%
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m? Jun 11 $275 −$95 -34%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $101 −$91 -89%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $1,572 −$1,560 -99%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $61 −$60 -98%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 10 $61 −$60 -99%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 10 $81 −$80 -99%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $100 +$27 +27%
Cagliari: Lorenzo Sonego vs Mattia Bellucci Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Celtics vs. 76ers Jun 10 $15 −$15 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 10 $106 −$106 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $30 −$15 -50%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? Jun 10 $10 −$10 -100%
Will RS Berkane win on 2026-04-30? Jun 10 $15 −$15 -100%
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx Jun 10 $20 −$20 -100%
Abidjan 2: Michael Geerts vs Niels Visker Jun 10 $20 −$20 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 10 $20 −$20 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 10 $20 −$20 -100%
Huzhou: Veronika Erjavec vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 10 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-05-01? Jun 10 $20 −$20 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 10 $20 −$20 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 10 $26 −$26 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $20 −$20 -100%
Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 10 $35 −$35 -100%
Will Tromsø IL win on 2026-04-29? Jun 10 $25 −$25 -100%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 10 $25 −$25 -100%
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Kia Tigers Jun 10 $30 −$30 -100%
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. SSG Landers Jun 10 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? Jun 10 $35 −$35 -100%
Cagliari: Hubert Hurkacz vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 10 $40 −$40 -100%
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty Leag Jun 10 $40 −$40 -100%
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings Jun 10 $40 −$40 -100%
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 10 $40 −$40 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 10 $40 −$40 -100%
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5 Jun 10 $41 −$41 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Jun 10 $41 −$41 -100%
Avalanche vs. Wild Jun 10 $41 −$41 -100%
Canadiens vs. Lightning Jun 10 $51 −$51 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $51 −$51 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 10 $36 −$36 -100%
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. LG Twins Jun 10 $61 −$61 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 41% −$1,333
politics 20% +$480
crypto 15% +$267
culture 8% +$329
weather 8% −$524
other 8% −$1,031
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47 BUY Yes 83¢ $750 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 64¢ $101 1h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 48¢ $51 1h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Texas Rangers 50¢ $30 23h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 57¢ $20 23h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Baltimore Orioles 55¢ $20 23h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 55¢ $20 24h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 50¢ $20 24h
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47 BUY Yes 67¢ $75 24h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers SELL Philadelphia Phillies 43¢ $34 25h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 44¢ $36 25h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Miami Marlins 45¢ $51 25h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $25 25h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 57¢ $101 25h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 70¢ $151 2d
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 60¢ $121 3d
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m? SELL Yes 40¢ $94 3d
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47 SELL Yes 25¢ $163 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 6¢ $11 3d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Milwaukee Brewers 75¢ $1,511 3d
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m? BUY Yes 64¢ $150 3d
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m? SELL No 48¢ $86 3d
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m? BUY No 70¢ $125 3d
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47 BUY Yes 58¢ $380 3d
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Washington Nationals 49¢ $61 3d
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 51¢ $61 3d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Milwaukee Brewers 51¢ $61 3d
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 66¢ $81 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 54¢ $101 4d
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres BUY Cincinnati Reds 78¢ $60 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-14.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 76 -59.0% -62.9% 21% 21% -46.3%
≤30d 86 -49.5% -54.3% 26% 26% -33.5%
≤90d 585 -5.5% -14.5% 49% 44% -12.9%
all 585 -5.5% -14.5% 49% 44% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.5% 44% -12.9%
10% -22.7% 39% -21.3%
15% -30.2% 32% -28.9%
20% -37.0% 21% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,012.88 · official $1,012.88 (match) · 1531 history records