Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:21:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E0 0xe00a…d1f4 crypto 69 markets active 3d ago coverage 6d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (149 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,390 (-5%) realized −$1,390 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR51%break-even
Win rate55%38W / 31L
Whale WR56%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$410per market
Trades / day149.1pace
Fees−$93est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 69% −$648
sports 31% −$1,254
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (149 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-17.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 -10.8% -19.3% 51% 51% -15.3%
≤30d 69 -9.0% -17.7% 55% 51% -15.3%
≤90d 69 -9.0% -17.7% 55% 51% -15.3%
all 69 -9.0% -17.7% 55% 51% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover149.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.7% 51% -15.3%
10% ← realistic here -25.6% 42% -23.4%
15% -32.8% 36% -30.8%
20% -39.3% 33% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 23% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
5% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 56% (≥$522) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -3% → late -15% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
7.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$277 vs −$401 · ×0.69 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.85 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,390
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses38 / 31
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Est. fees paid−$93
Open positions0
Markets (closed)69 / 69
History coverage6d
Avg bet$410
Trades / day149.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 69 Trades
no open positions (25 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $60 −$59 -99%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $152 −$92 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -97%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $339 −$334 -98%
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $216 +$53 +25%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $808 −$798 -99%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $598 −$159 -27%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro Jun 14 $516 +$716 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $49 −$47 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 10 $44 −$42 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 10 $27 +$17 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 10 $709 −$709 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 10 $1,924 +$1,506 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 10 $237 −$211 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 10 $2,044 −$2,016 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $938 −$935 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 10 $509 −$447 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 10 $928 −$900 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 10 $518 −$500 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 10 $788 +$522 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $418 +$635 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 10 $579 +$476 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 10 $516 +$300 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 10 $831 −$800 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 10 $311 −$300 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 10 $202 +$37 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $518 +$473 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 10 $1,137 +$942 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 10 $519 −$500 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $417 −$400 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $315 +$603 +192%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $580 +$476 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 10 $205 +$92 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 10 $206 +$138 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $835 +$748 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 10 $207 −$200 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 10 $258 +$236 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 10 $312 −$300 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 10 $103 +$58 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $207 +$157 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 10 $442 +$316 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 10 $537 +$362 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $414 −$400 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 10 $105 −$53 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 10 $308 +$176 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 10 $105 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 10 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $77 +$51 +66%
Counter-Strike: B8 Academy vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Eur Jun 10 $633 +$158 +25%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 10 $284 −$281 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 58¢ $60 2d
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 2 Winner SELL fnatic 26¢ $59 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $7 2d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 50¢ $339 2d
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner SELL Nexus 99¢ $225 2d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 60¢ $808 2d
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner SELL Nexus 99¢ $44 2d
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner BUY Nexus 84¢ $5 2d
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner BUY Nexus 84¢ $87 2d
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner BUY Nexus 84¢ $12 2d
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner BUY Nexus 77¢ $11 2d
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner BUY Nexus 76¢ $95 2d
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner BUY Nexus 65¢ $1 2d
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Alliance - Map 1 Winner BUY Nexus 65¢ $6 2d
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 2 Winner BUY fnatic 63¢ $152 2d
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner SELL illwill 100¢ $20 2d
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro SELL illwill 99¢ $789 2d
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro SELL illwill 99¢ $443 2d
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY illwill 41¢ $1 2d
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY illwill 41¢ $515 2d
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner SELL illwill 99¢ $517 2d
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner BUY illwill 64¢ $351 2d
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner SELL Virtus.pro 30¢ $85 2d
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner BUY Virtus.pro 85¢ $247 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $49 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $44 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $44 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $27 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $26 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $223 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 873 history records