Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:07:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E0
0xe00b…2a91
crypto · 574 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$838 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,333 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$2,333
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses295 / 278
Open positions1
Markets (closed)573 / 574
History coverage585d
Avg bet$77
Trades / day2.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 573 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$164
7 days+$342
14 days−$8,964
30 days−$2,192
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 41¢ 16¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-60%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $149 $0 −$149 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $72 $0 −$72 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $146 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$6 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $51 +$40 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$12 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$21 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$35 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$25 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$27 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$19 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$7 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$15 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $40 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $145 +$33 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$5 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $71 +$42 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$22 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$6 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +105%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$2,159
sports 6% −$184
other 0% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $146 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $11 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $26 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $18 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $20 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $26 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $6 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $9 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 25h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-13.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 153 -7.3% -16.2% 51% 47% -2.9%
≤30d 540 -6.6% -15.5% 50% 45% -14.5%
≤90d 546 -5.2% -14.2% 51% 46% -13.9%
all 573 -4.7% -13.8% 51% 46% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.8% 46% -14.4%
10% -22.1% 42% -22.6%
15% -29.6% 37% -30.0%
20% -36.5% 33% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.21 · official $1.21 (match) · 2105 history records