Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T22:35:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E0 0xe00e…ea73 crypto 547 markets active 2h ago coverage 65d ⚠
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 64d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL +$212 (+1%) realized +$212 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -15% what you keep after slip
Net edge-15%after slip
Net WR7%break-even
Win rate43%444W / 585L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$30per market
Trades / day25.1pace
Fees−$171est.
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 65d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 66% +$57
crypto 21% +$16
other 13% −$48
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-0.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 493 +22.2% +10.5% 12% 11% -29.1%
≤30d 556 +18.5% +7.2% 15% 11% -26.4%
≤90d 1029 +9.9% -0.6% 43% 7% -23.3%
all 1029 +9.9% -0.6% 43% 7% -23.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover25.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.6% 7% -23.3%
10% ← realistic here -10.1% 6% -30.6%
15% -18.8% 5% -37.3%
20% -26.7% 5% -43.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 16% · top 2 31% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -16% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
81% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +10% · $-wt -16% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late +21% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$6 · ×0.28 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.21 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

65d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$212
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses444 / 585
Est. fees paid−$171
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1029 / 547
History coverage65d ⚠
Avg bet$30
Trades / day25.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1029 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -120%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 18 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 18 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 18 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 18 $0 −$3 -3224%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 18 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 18 $0 +$1 +1326%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 18 $0 +$1 +1052%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 18 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 18 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $0 −$3 -2981%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 18 $0 −$3 -3519%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 18 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 18 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 18 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 18 $0 −$2 -2667%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 18 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 18 $0 +$3 +5449%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 18 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 18 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 18 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 18 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 18 $0 +$1 +764%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 18 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 18 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 18 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 16¢ $16 1h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 16¢ $2 1h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 16¢ $4 1h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 16¢ $3 1h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 SELL Over 90¢ $75 1h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 60¢ $25 1h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 59¢ $25 1h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 2¢ $2 1h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 2¢ $0 1h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 4¢ $4 1h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 55¢ $102 1h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 53¢ $100 1h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 99¢ $197 2h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 99¢ $146 2h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 95¢ $36 2h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 97¢ $6 2h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 97¢ $6 2h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 95¢ $107 2h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 96¢ $168 2h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 96¢ $32 2h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 93¢ $202 2h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 93¢ $233 2h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 92¢ $200 2h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 93¢ $9 2h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 93¢ $171 2h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 90¢ $201 2h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 90¢ $200 2h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Under 88¢ $186 2h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 87¢ $180 2h
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 82¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records