Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:01:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E0
0xe017…b46c
other · 70 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$13 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)10%
Wins / losses7 / 63
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)70 / 70
History coverage76d
Avg bet$331
Trades / day2.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit47%
Chart Positions 0 History 70 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 14 $53 $0 -0%
Will XRP reach $2.80 in May? Jun 14 $62 $0 +0%
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? Jun 14 $184 $0 +0%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 28 $673 −$1 -0%
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 27 $52 $0 -0%
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 26 $41 $0 -0%
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 25 $61 $0 -0%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June May 22 $77 $0 -0%
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 21 $91 $0 -0%
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Croatia vs Jersey May 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Han Jun-ho win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election? May 19 $63 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 16 $336 $0 -0%
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 14 $322 $0 -0%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 14 $331 $0 -0%
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 05 $665 −$1 -0%
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 04 $325 $0 -0%
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 03 $317 $0 -0%
Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? May 02 $325 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? May 02 $349 $0 -0%
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? May 01 $314 $0 -0%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April? Apr 24 $339 +$1 +0%
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? Apr 20 $349 $0 -0%
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Apr 19 $350 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 19 $992 −$1 -0%
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Apr 18 $345 $0 -0%
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 18 $321 $0 -0%
Will the Los Angeles Angels win the 2026 World Series? Apr 16 $332 $0 -0%
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 16 $658 −$1 -0%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 16 $897 −$1 -0%
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 16 $318 $0 -0%
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary elec Apr 15 $338 $0 -0%
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Apr 15 $331 $0 -0%
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 15 $620 −$1 -0%
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? Apr 14 $319 $0 -0%
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026? Apr 14 $342 $0 -0%
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Apr 13 $331 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? Apr 13 $349 $0 -0%
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026? Apr 13 $323 $0 -0%
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 13 $347 $0 -0%
Will Jake Knapp win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 12 $339 +$1 +0%
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 11 $342 $0 -0%
Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 11 $347 $0 -0%
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 11 $328 $0 -0%
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 10 $320 $0 -0%
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 10 $326 $0 -0%
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 10 $352 $0 -0%
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 09 $651 −$1 -0%
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? Apr 09 $338 $0 -0%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ap Apr 09 $632 −$1 -0%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? Apr 09 $5 +$8 +165%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 63% −$6
politics 15% −$4
economics 5% −$1
sports 5% −$3
tech 5% −$1
world 2% −$1
culture 2% −$1
finance 1% +$1
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $53 1h
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $53 5h
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $55 16d
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $55 17d
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $52 17d
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $52 18d
Will XRP reach $2.80 in May? BUY No 100¢ $62 18d
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $41 18d
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $41 18d
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $61 19d
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $61 19d
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June SELL No 100¢ $77 22d
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June BUY No 100¢ $77 22d
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $40 23d
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $40 23d
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $50 24d
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $51 24d
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Croatia vs Jersey BUY Croatia 11¢ $2 25d
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? BUY No 100¢ $184 25d
Will Han Jun-ho win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election? SELL No 100¢ $63 25d
Will Han Jun-ho win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election? BUY No 100¢ $63 25d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $336 29d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $336 30d
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $322 30d
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $322 30d
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $330 30d
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $331 31d
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $345 39d
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $345 40d
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $325 40d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +0.0% -9.5% 67% 0% -9.5%
≤30d 12 -8.4% -17.1% 17% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 70 -0.1% -9.6% 10% 4% -9.6%
all 70 -0.1% -9.6% 10% 4% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 4% -9.6%
10% -18.3% 4% -18.2%
15% -26.2% 4% -26.1%
20% -33.4% 3% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 188 history records