Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T06:43:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E0 0xe018…1b18 sports 40 markets active 0h ago coverage 37d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$3,808 (+7%) realized +$3,808 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR32%break-even
Win rate68%27W / 13L
Whale WR80%big bets
Drawdown39%max
Avg bet$1,329per market
Trades / day42.2pace
Fees−$855est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$28
7 days−$28
14 days−$28
30 days+$171
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$3,660
crypto 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +3.0% -6.9% 67% 0% -9.8%
≤30d 30 -5.7% -14.7% 70% 30% -8.1%
≤90d 40 -3.3% -12.5% 68% 32% -2.4%
all 40 -3.3% -12.5% 68% 32% -2.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover42.2 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.5% 32% -2.4%
10% -20.9% 8% -11.7%
15% ← realistic here -28.5% 5% -20.2%
20% -35.5% 2% -28.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 32% · top 2 43% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +7% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
44% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt +7% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 80% (≥$1,803) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +7% → late -14% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
25.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$231 vs −$198 · ×1.16 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×2.42 per $1 lost it wins $2.42
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

37d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$3,808
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses27 / 13
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Est. fees paid−$855
Open positions0
Markets (closed)40 / 40
History coverage37d
Avg bet$1,329
Trades / day42.2
Drawdown39%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 40 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 28 $2,286 +$43 +2%
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 28 $925 +$84 +9%
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 28 $7,397 −$155 -2%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $204 +$17 +8%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $2,801 +$71 +2%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $603 +$72 +12%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $25 −$25 -100%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $1,443 −$349 -24%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $1,319 −$862 -65%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 07 $6 −$3 -44%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 07 $1,803 −$187 -10%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $1,492 −$453 -30%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $1,349 −$467 -35%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $1,120 +$86 +8%
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 05 $172 +$34 +20%
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $1,063 +$195 +18%
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $425 −$36 -8%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner May 31 $1,376 +$237 +17%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 31 $1,403 +$698 +50%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 4 Winner May 31 $331 +$11 +3%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 31 $402 +$42 +10%
UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweigh May 30 $2,382 +$194 +8%
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 4 Winner May 30 $1,476 +$167 +11%
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs May 30 $2,191 +$249 +11%
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner May 30 $1,092 +$71 +6%
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 30 $582 +$47 +8%
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 30 $1,043 +$174 +17%
UFC Fight Night: Rei Tsuruya vs. Luis Gurule (Bantamweight, Prelims) May 30 $374 +$25 +7%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 3 Winner May 29 $1,094 +$132 +12%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs MVK Esports - Game 1 Winner May 29 $569 +$59 +10%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner May 28 $279 −$35 -12%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In May 24 $2,148 +$1,993 +93%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 24 $954 +$7 +1%
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 4 Winner May 24 $255 −$2 -1%
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) - LCP Playoffs May 24 $3,026 +$173 +6%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 24 $1,424 +$362 +25%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 24 $2,956 +$381 +13%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs May 24 $50 −$2 -4%
LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 3 Winner May 23 $3,338 +$612 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET May 22 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 29¢ $3 18m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 29¢ $1 18m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 29¢ $14 18m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 29¢ $22 18m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 29¢ $6 18m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 32¢ $65 18m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 32¢ $93 18m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 32¢ $2 18m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 35¢ $3 18m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 35¢ $5 18m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 29¢ $148 19m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 28¢ $6 19m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 28¢ $6 19m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 28¢ $41 19m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 83¢ $181 19m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 83¢ $365 19m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 83¢ $50 19m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 85¢ $427 20m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 84¢ $15 20m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 84¢ $168 20m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 21¢ $66 21m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 20¢ $61 22m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Deep Cross Gaming 20¢ $3 22m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 14¢ $11 22m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 14¢ $59 22m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 14¢ $70 22m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 13¢ $65 22m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 13¢ $65 22m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 12¢ $60 22m
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Deep Cross Gaming 12¢ $60 22m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1610 history records