Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T02:03:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E0 0xe02d…e985 crypto 1751 markets active 1h ago coverage 65d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 64d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$3 (+0%) realized +$3 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate99%1742W / 26L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day27.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$2now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$33
7 days−$33
14 days−$34
30 days−$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 116 -14.3% -22.5% 85% 0% -22.5%
≤30d 300 -5.6% -14.6% 94% 0% -14.6%
≤90d 1768 -0.8% -10.3% 99% 0% -10.2%
all 1768 -0.8% -10.3% 99% 0% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover27.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.3% 0% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 0% -18.8%
15% -26.7% 0% -26.7%
20% -33.9% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late -2% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.44 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

65d coverage
Net worth$2
Realized+$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses1742 / 26
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1768 / 1751
History coverage65d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day27.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1768 Trades
no open positions (20 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - April 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 7PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 10AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 7PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 6PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 6PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 4PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.00 · official $2.00 (match) · 3500 history records