trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -7.1% | -16.0% | 60% | 0% | -26.7% |
| all | 13 | -5.9% | -14.9% | 31% | 0% | -23.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.9% | 0% | -23.1% |
| 10% | -23.0% | 0% | -30.4% |
| 15% | -30.5% | 0% | -37.2% |
| 20% | -37.3% | 0% | -43.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out by June 30? | Jun 27 | $114 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | May 08 | $222 | −$80 | -36% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 19? | May 05 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 3? | Apr 07 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on March 25? | Apr 02 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 19? | Mar 25 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 05 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 05 | $6 | −$2 | -25% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 04 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 03 | $15 | −$1 | -9% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Mar 01 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 01 | $20 | −$1 | -7% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Feb 27 | $43 | $0 | +0% |