Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:11:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E0
0xe067…8bfe
politics · 123 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$120 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$120 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13
Realized−$120
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses5 / 117
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)122 / 123
History coverage108d
Avg bet$63
Trades / day3.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 1 History 122 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 99¢ 99¢ $13 $13 −$0 (-0%)
Bucks vs. Clippers Bucks 14¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Pacers vs. Clippers Pacers 16¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Wizards vs. Jazz Jazz 62¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Clippers vs. Mavericks Mavericks 29¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Trail Blazers vs. Clippers Clippers 65¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Nets vs. Trail Blazers Nets 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Raptors vs. Jazz Jazz 20¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Hornets vs. Trail Blazers Trail Blazers 42¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Lakers Cavaliers 47¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Wizards vs. Lakers Wizards 9¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Jazz Jazz 8¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju Jun 12 $8 $0 -0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 10 $12 $0 -0%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 08 $101 $0 -0%
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 06 $16 $0 -0%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 30 $75 $0 -0%
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? May 26 $249 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? May 25 $103 $0 -0%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 24 $182 $0 -0%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 23 $156 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May? May 22 $82 $0 -0%
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 22 $91 $0 -0%
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 21 $68 $0 -0%
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026 May 20 $67 $0 -0%
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 18 $105 $0 -0%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 17 $69 $0 -0%
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 17 $76 $0 -0%
Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election May 16 $121 $0 -0%
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election May 15 $177 $0 -0%
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 12 $8 $0 -0%
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? May 11 $12 $0 +0%
Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 11 $61 $0 -0%
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? May 11 $82 $0 -0%
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? May 10 $29 $0 -0%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 10 $48 $0 -0%
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 10 $65 $0 -0%
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 09 $107 $0 -0%
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 07 $195 $0 -0%
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? May 07 $58 $0 -0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 05 $48 $0 -0%
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 04 $67 $0 -0%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 03 $62 $0 -0%
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 03 $71 $0 -0%
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 02 $144 $0 -0%
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 02 $230 $0 -0%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 01 $72 $0 -0%
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 01 $75 $0 -0%
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 01 $94 $0 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 30 $89 $0 -0%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential no Apr 30 $68 $0 -0%
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 27 $160 $0 -0%
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 27 $103 $0 -0%
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Apr 26 $81 $0 -0%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 26 $74 $0 -0%
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 24 $81 $0 -0%
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 22 $67 $0 -0%
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 22 $72 $0 -0%
Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential electio Apr 22 $67 $0 -0%
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 21 $83 $0 -0%
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 21 $89 $0 -0%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 20 $82 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 45% −$5
other 44% −$4
sports 4% −$111
economics 3% $0
crypto 2% $0
tech 1% $0
world 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $13 1h
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju SELL No 100¢ $8 42h
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju BUY No 100¢ $8 2d
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $12 2d
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $12 5d
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $14 5d
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $14 6d
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $16 7d
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $16 8d
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $75 14d
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $75 16d
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $87 17d
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $87 18d
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $77 18d
Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $77 19d
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $88 19d
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $88 19d
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $85 20d
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $85 20d
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $66 21d
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $66 21d
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May? SELL No 100¢ $82 22d
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May? BUY No 100¢ $82 22d
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $91 22d
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $91 23d
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $68 23d
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $68 24d
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026 SELL No 100¢ $67 24d
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026 BUY No 100¢ $67 25d
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $92 25d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-17.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 18 -0.1% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 117 -7.4% -16.3% 3% 2% -10.8%
all 122 -8.6% -17.3% 4% 2% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.3% 2% -10.9%
10% -25.2% 2% -19.5%
15% -32.4% 0% -27.2%
20% -39.0% 0% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13.00 · official $13.00 (match) · 362 history records