Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:15:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E0
0xe073…b513
crypto · 573 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$43 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$42 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$42
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses399 / 173
Open positions1
Markets (closed)572 / 573
History coverage8d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day89.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 572 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$42
14 days−$42
30 days−$42
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 56¢ 8¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-85%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$43
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-15.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 571 -6.2% -15.2% 70% 48% -14.8%
≤30d 572 -6.2% -15.2% 70% 48% -14.8%
≤90d 572 -6.2% -15.2% 70% 48% -14.8%
all 572 -6.2% -15.2% 70% 48% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover89.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.2% 48% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -23.3% 34% -23.0%
15% -30.7% 17% -30.4%
20% -37.5% 7% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.15 · official $1.04 (match) · 1104 history records