Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T05:03:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E0 0xe075…24f9 crypto 1615 markets active 9d ago coverage 3d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 3d only
✗ bot/MM pace (587 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$226 (-2%) realized −$226 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate93%1502W / 112L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day587.0pace
Kalshi-fit93%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 94% −$60
other 6% −$35
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (587 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 1614 -3.3% -12.5% 93% 1% -10.4%
≤90d 1614 -3.3% -12.5% 93% 1% -10.4%
all 1614 -3.3% -12.5% 93% 1% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover587.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.5% 1% -10.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.9% 1% -18.9%
15% -28.6% 1% -26.8%
20% -35.6% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -7% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.04 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.6 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$226
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses1502 / 112
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1614 / 1615
History coverage3d ⚠
Avg bet$6
Trades / day587.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1614 Trades
no open positions (27 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 10PM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10PM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 10PM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 9PM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 8PM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 20 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 10PM ET Jun 20 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 8PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 9PM ET Jun 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 19 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 19 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 19 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 10PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 9d
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 9d
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 9d
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $0 9d
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 9d
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 9d
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 9d
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 9d
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 9d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 10PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 9d
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 10PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 9d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 9d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 9d
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 9d
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 10PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 9d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 9d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 9d
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 9d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 9d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 9d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $0 9d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 9d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records