Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T16:13:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

7.5
score
E0 0xe075…bf89 sports 122 markets active 2h ago coverage 30d
RISKYcopy with care sports specialistFresh edge
Total PnL +$5,518 (+32%) realized +$5,520 · open −$2
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +28% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +12% what you keep after slip
Net edge+12%after slip
Net WR45%break-even
Win rate45%55W / 66L
Drawdown15%max
Avg bet$143per market
Trades / day6.5pace
Fees−$283est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$257now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$330
7 days+$934
14 days+$3,120
30 days+$5,360
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 98% +$5,373
other 2% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)+16.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 +15.8% +4.7% 37% 37% +12.9%
≤30d 121 +28.3% +16.0% 45% 45% +18.5%
≤90d 121 +28.3% +16.0% 45% 45% +18.5%
all 121 +28.3% +16.0% 45% 45% +18.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover6.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +16.0% 45% +18.5%
10% +4.9% 45% +7.2%
15% -5.2% 44% -3.2%
20% -14.5% 44% -12.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +31% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +28% · $-wt +31% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -7% → late +63% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$226 vs −$107 · ×2.11 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.76 per $1 lost it wins $1.76
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

30d coverage
Net worth$257
Realized+$5,520
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses55 / 66
Est. fees paid−$283
Open positions1
Markets (closed)121 / 122
History coverage30d
Avg bet$143
Trades / day6.5
Drawdown15%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 121 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs FURIA 74¢ 74¢ $259 $257 −$2 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 62 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 18 $5 +$32 +596%
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 18 $259 −$254 -98%
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner Jun 18 $1 $0 -5%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 17 $111 −$108 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 15 $61 −$60 -99%
Game Handicap: Nem (-1.5) vs Hokori (+1.5) Jun 15 $298 −$293 -98%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner Jun 15 $200 −$197 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $639 +$529 +83%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $292 −$287 -98%
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Atputies - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $27 −$26 -97%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $118 −$115 -98%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) Jun 12 $251 +$323 +129%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $102 +$255 +250%
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $105 −$103 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $203 −$199 -98%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) Jun 12 $44 −$44 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $798 +$1,187 +149%
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gr Jun 11 $203 +$214 +105%
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Oxuji Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $86 +$80 +93%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $78 +$59 +76%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 11 $136 −$133 -98%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 10 $7 +$9 +130%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Jun 10 $304 +$235 +77%
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - United21 Playof Jun 10 $84 +$93 +111%
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Masked Regime - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $122 +$136 +112%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5) Jun 09 $20 +$470 +2330%
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs Oxuji Esports (+1.5) Jun 09 $28 +$31 +111%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 09 $132 +$118 +90%
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 09 $199 −$27 -13%
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro Lea Jun 09 $219 −$215 -98%
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - European Pro League Group Jun 08 $137 +$236 +173%
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Jun 08 $145 +$285 +197%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $86 +$28 +32%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5) Jun 07 $92 +$158 +172%
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs VENOM ESPOR (BO3) - TESFED League Jun 07 $92 −$90 -98%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5) Jun 07 $293 −$288 -98%
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs NAVI Junior - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $131 +$321 +245%
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Jun 07 $158 −$155 -98%
Counter-Strike: CHAOS vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 2 Winner Jun 06 $80 +$164 +206%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $371 −$348 -94%
Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX (BO5) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Clos Jun 05 $405 +$322 +79%
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 05 $45 −$44 -97%
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 Winner Jun 05 $52 −$51 -98%
Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs STEP (BO3) - United21 Group A Jun 05 $11 −$11 -97%
Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs STEP - Map 2 Winner Jun 05 $90 −$88 -98%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 04 $557 +$464 +83%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $340 +$220 +65%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $405 +$285 +70%
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Entropy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: S Jun 04 $15 −$15 -98%
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Phantom - Map 2 Winner Jun 03 $197 +$225 +114%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs BUY FURIA 74¢ $186 1h
Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Yakult Brothers 37¢ $259 5h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs BUY FURIA 74¢ $75 6h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 14¢ $5 7h
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Resilience 57¢ $1 8h
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Resilience 59¢ $1 8h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 21¢ $111 22h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Natus Vincere 64¢ $61 3d
Game Handicap: Nem (-1.5) vs Hokori (+1.5) BUY Hokori 40¢ $298 3d
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner BUY G2 Ares 47¢ $200 3d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 54¢ $639 4d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 47¢ $292 4d
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Atputies - Map 2 Winner BUY Atputies 8¢ $1 5d
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Atputies - Map 2 Winner BUY Atputies 8¢ $26 5d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Aurora Gaming 20¢ $118 5d
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 2 Winner BUY Eternal Fire Academy 31¢ $105 5d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 28¢ $102 6d
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) BUY Legacy 43¢ $251 6d
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 40¢ $203 6d
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: G2 (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) BUY FUT Esports 63¢ $44 6d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 41¢ $203 7d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 39¢ $290 7d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 39¢ $305 7d
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gr BUY Bebop 48¢ $203 7d
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 BUY Over 40¢ $136 7d
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Oxuji Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Bebop 51¢ $86 7d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 56¢ $78 7d
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series BUY Walczaki 56¢ $304 8d
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Masked Regime - Map 1 Winner BUY Masked Regime 46¢ $122 8d
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - United21 Playof BUY WRAITH PCIFIC 47¢ $84 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $257.25 · official $257.25 (match) · 244 history records