Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:29:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E0
0xe076…09e4
crypto · 64 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$210 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$221 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$21
Realized−$221
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses23 / 39
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions2
Markets (closed)62 / 64
History coverage78d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day3.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 62 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$7
14 days−$7
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 49¢ 46¢ $12 $11 −$1 (-5%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 Over 48¢ 44¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-7%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Over 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Under 62¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Under 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$8 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$6 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -95%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $20 +$8 +40%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $10 +$5 +54%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $10 +$14 +140%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $11 −$11 -99%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Apr 14 $35 −$29 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Apr 14 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Apr 14 $20 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Apr 14 $20 −$2 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Apr 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Apr 14 $22 −$4 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Apr 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Apr 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Apr 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Apr 14 $23 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Apr 14 $22 −$3 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Apr 14 $25 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Apr 14 $15 −$12 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Apr 14 $20 +$13 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Apr 14 $25 +$12 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Apr 14 $20 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Mar 29 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Mar 29 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Mar 29 $25 −$7 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Mar 29 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Mar 29 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Mar 29 $25 −$14 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Mar 29 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Mar 29 $59 −$20 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Mar 29 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Mar 29 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Mar 29 $20 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Mar 29 $20 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Mar 29 $20 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Mar 29 $30 +$12 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Mar 29 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Mar 29 $41 −$5 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Mar 29 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Mar 29 $27 −$9 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Mar 29 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Mar 29 $40 +$29 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Mar 29 $40 +$34 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Mar 29 $20 −$1 -6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$204
sports 6% −$24
other 1% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 49¢ $12 33m
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 48¢ $10 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $3 3h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 99¢ $17 14h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $10 14h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 52¢ $11 14h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 50¢ $10 16h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 46¢ $10 16h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $16 16h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 41¢ $10 23h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $10 23h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 45¢ $10 23h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 51¢ $10 23h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 62¢ $11 43h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $5 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $3 61d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $2 61d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $2 61d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $3 61d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $5 61d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $5 61d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $5 61d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 61d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 61d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET SELL Down 7¢ $3 61d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-21.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -26.8% -33.7% 42% 42% -15.5%
≤30d 12 -26.8% -33.7% 42% 42% -15.5%
≤90d 62 -13.7% -21.9% 37% 35% -24.2%
all 62 -13.7% -21.9% 37% 35% -24.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.9% 35% -24.2%
10% -29.4% 34% -31.5%
15% -36.2% 34% -38.1%
20% -42.5% 29% -44.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.66 · official $20.66 (match) · 333 history records