Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T09:22:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E0 0xe077…369b sports 124 markets active 1h ago coverage 258d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFading edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$7,014 (+1%) realized +$7,014 · open +$0
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate61%76W / 48L
Whale WR74%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6,640per market
Trades / day4.3pace
Fees−$2,472est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12,894
7 days+$12,433
14 days+$7,748
30 days−$831
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 72% +$11,950
crypto 26% +$840
other 1% −$510
world 1% −$3,738
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-17.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +26.5% +14.4% 86% 86% +18.1%
≤30d 60 -20.8% -28.3% 50% 43% -9.8%
≤90d 60 -20.8% -28.3% 50% 43% -9.8%
all 124 -9.0% -17.7% 61% 52% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover4.3 tr/day
realistic slip~12%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.7% 52% -8.5%
10% ← realistic here -25.6% 47% -17.3%
15% -32.8% 30% -25.3%
20% -39.4% 20% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 20% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
12% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR 74% (≥$9,055) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +5% → late -23% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
6.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$2,749 vs −$4,174 · ×0.66 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.04 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

258d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$7,014
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses76 / 48
Whale WR (big bets)74%
Est. fees paid−$2,472
Open positions0
Markets (closed)124 / 124
History coverage258d
Avg bet$6,640
Trades / day4.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 124 Trades
no open positions (28 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Jun 29 $16,298 +$3,431 +21%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) Jun 29 $11,384 +$4,862 +43%
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+1.5) Jun 28 $6,649 +$1,974 +30%
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5) Jun 28 $4,070 +$2,626 +64%
Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 1 IR Iran? Jun 27 $1,240 −$1,158 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 26 $621 +$596 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 26 $406 +$101 +25%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5) Jun 21 $3,945 +$2,429 +62%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5) - IEM Cologne Major Playof Jun 21 $13,199 +$4,617 +35%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Pla Jun 19 $8,241 −$8,167 -99%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs Jun 19 $6,644 +$1,606 +24%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 18 $509 −$497 -98%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playof Jun 16 $2,117 −$2,092 -99%
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Jun 16 $3,046 −$2,580 -85%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) Jun 13 $2,936 −$2,909 -99%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 13 $1,476 +$1,460 +99%
Spread: Spurs (-14.5) Jun 11 $3,521 −$3,467 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $13,171 −$10,905 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 10 $311 −$300 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 10 $105 −$77 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 10 $418 −$400 -96%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 10 $2,527 −$2,500 -99%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp Jun 09 $5,449 −$180 -3%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $5,040 +$1,802 +36%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $1,100 +$900 +82%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $6,052 −$127 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 09 $104 −$71 -69%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 09 $53 −$45 -86%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 09 $2,383 +$1,300 +55%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $5,464 +$2,172 +40%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $13,228 +$3,712 +28%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $1,148 −$1,135 -99%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 8? Jun 08 $137 −$129 -94%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5) Jun 08 $12,922 +$7,665 +59%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $6,925 +$5,968 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 07 $31 −$30 -96%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $14 +$17 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 07 $336 −$325 -97%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $2,059 −$1,711 -83%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $12,626 −$10,603 -84%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 07 $6,541 +$6,099 +93%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $10,879 −$10,827 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $1,995 +$632 +32%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $14,116 +$995 +7%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $12,415 +$3,381 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6? Jun 06 $10,695 +$891 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 06 $9 +$1 +10%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $8,063 +$3,031 +38%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $1,046 −$623 -60%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 5? Jun 05 $6,433 +$2,655 +41%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational SELL Team Liquid 100¢ $291 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational SELL Team Liquid 100¢ $199 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational SELL Team Liquid 100¢ $300 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational SELL Team Liquid 100¢ $5,092 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational SELL Team Liquid 100¢ $5 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational SELL Team Liquid 100¢ $500 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational SELL Team Liquid 100¢ $2,500 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational SELL Team Liquid 100¢ $1,000 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational SELL Team Liquid 100¢ $4,470 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational SELL Team Liquid 100¢ $4,990 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational SELL Team Liquid 100¢ $381 1h
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational BUY Team Liquid 82¢ $16,298 3h
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) SELL T1 99¢ $14,072 4h
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) SELL T1 99¢ $20 4h
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) SELL T1 99¢ $13 4h
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) SELL T1 99¢ $17 4h
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) SELL T1 99¢ $396 4h
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) SELL T1 99¢ $495 4h
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) SELL T1 99¢ $769 4h
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) SELL T1 99¢ $198 4h
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) SELL T1 99¢ $267 4h
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) BUY T1 70¢ $494 6h
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) BUY T1 69¢ $1,380 6h
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) BUY T1 69¢ $4,140 6h
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) BUY T1 69¢ $5,370 7h
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+1.5) SELL Karmine Corp 100¢ $8,527 25h
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+1.5) SELL Karmine Corp 97¢ $97 25h
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+1.5) BUY Karmine Corp 77¢ $2,031 27h
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+1.5) BUY Karmine Corp 77¢ $983 27h
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Deep Cross Gaming (+1.5) BUY Karmine Corp 77¢ $4 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1179 history records