trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -55.9% | -60.1% | 25% | 25% | -0.2% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -64.4% | -67.8% | 20% | 20% | -15.8% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -38.8% | -44.6% | 33% | 29% | -7.6% |
| all | 24 | -38.8% | -44.6% | 33% | 29% | -7.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -44.6% | 29% | -7.6% |
| 10% | -49.9% | 21% | -16.4% |
| 15% | -54.8% | 12% | -24.5% |
| 20% | -59.2% | 8% | -31.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? | No | 8¢ | 0¢ | $401 | $0 | −$401 (-100%) |
| Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $31 | $0 | −$31 (-100%) |
| Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A | Vitality | 17¢ | 0¢ | $200 | $0 | −$200 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $55 | $0 | −$55 (-100%) |
| Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | $150 | $0 | −$150 (-100%) |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8? | No | 8¢ | 0¢ | $512 | $0 | −$512 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | $51 | $0 | −$51 (-100%) |
| Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $115 | $0 | −$115 (-100%) |
| Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $100 | $0 | −$100 (-100%) |
| Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale? | Yes | 27¢ | 0¢ | $146 | $0 | −$146 (-100%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C or higher on April 29? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $8 | $0 | −$8 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 14 | $6,636 | +$1,387 | +21% |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026? | Jun 09 | $67 | −$50 | -75% |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? | Jun 09 | $100 | −$70 | -70% |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase June 2-8? | Jun 08 | $537 | −$512 | -95% |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? | Jun 07 | $419 | −$401 | -96% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 04 | $1,909 | +$869 | +46% |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC? | May 30 | $55 | −$55 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 1 Arsenal FC? | May 30 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs | May 16 | $1,167 | −$1,106 | -95% |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner | May 15 | $1,190 | −$851 | -72% |
| Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026? | May 15 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |
| Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit? | May 14 | $104 | −$100 | -96% |
| Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale? | May 13 | $222 | −$115 | -52% |
| Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A | May 12 | $205 | −$200 | -98% |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner | May 03 | $274 | +$568 | +207% |
| Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale? | Apr 30 | $762 | +$966 | +127% |
| Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale? | Apr 29 | $1,337 | −$452 | -34% |
| Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale? | Apr 29 | $622 | +$178 | +29% |
| Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale? | Apr 29 | $817 | +$85 | +10% |
| Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale? | Apr 29 | $198 | +$35 | +18% |
| Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale? | Apr 29 | $1,024 | +$236 | +23% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C or higher on April 29? | Apr 29 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | Apr 28 | $5,436 | −$6 | -0% |
| Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale? | Apr 27 | $33 | −$31 | -94% |