trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -1.1% | -10.5% | 0% | 0% | -10.5% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 0% | 0% | -10.4% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -0.4% | -9.8% | 9% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 11 | -0.4% | -9.8% | 9% | 0% | -9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.8% | 0% | -9.8% |
| 10% | -18.5% | 0% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -26.4% | 0% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -33.6% | 0% | -33.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 19 | $91 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 05 | $93 | −$2 | -2% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | May 28 | $93 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 21 | $93 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May? | May 15 | $93 | $0 | -0% |
| Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? | May 12 | $93 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 18 | $94 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April | Apr 15 | $94 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 08 | $94 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 m | Apr 02 | $94 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Mar 24 | $94 | $0 | +0% |