trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +39.7% | +26.4% | 83% | 83% | +50.9% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +26.4% | +14.4% | 86% | 64% | +20.7% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +10.0% | -0.5% | 71% | 53% | +1.1% |
| all | 17 | +10.0% | -0.5% | 71% | 53% | +1.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -0.5% | 53% | +1.1% |
| 10% | -10.0% | 41% | -8.6% |
| 15% | -18.7% | 41% | -17.4% |
| 20% | -26.7% | 24% | -25.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | Yes | 52¢ | 52¢ | $104 | $103 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 41¢ | 42¢ | $82 | $83 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $100 | $60 | −$40 (-40%) |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $85 | $49 | −$36 (-42%) |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 20¢ | 22¢ | $40 | $44 | +$3 (+8%) |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $33 | $32 | −$2 (-5%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $24 | $28 | +$3 (+14%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $98 | +$49 | +50% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 24 | $87 | +$53 | +60% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $102 | +$131 | +129% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $68 | +$32 | +48% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $47 | +$24 | +52% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $12 | −$12 | -98% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $23 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $21 | +$2 | +10% |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $81 | +$7 | +8% |
| Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $79 | +$11 | +13% |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $58 | +$21 | +36% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 04 | $141 | +$31 | +22% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 31 | $120 | +$100 | +83% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 26 | $417 | −$75 | -18% |
| Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 15 | $206 | −$206 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping? | May 14 | $7 | −$7 | -97% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | May 12 | $31 | $0 | -1% |