Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:26:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E0
0xe086…0450
other · 441 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,277 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,167 · open −$105
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$249
Realized−$3,167
Unrealized−$105
Win rate (resolved)6%
Wins / losses23 / 359
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$157
Open positions11
Markets (closed)382 / 441
History coverage14d
Avg bet$178
Trades / day219.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit55%
Chart Positions 11 History 382 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$654
7 days−$2,286
14 days−$3,167
30 days−$3,167
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Iraq finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $82 $81 −$1 (-1%)
Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31? No 73¢ 75¢ $73 $75 +$2 (+3%)
Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election? No 64¢ 62¢ $63 $62 −$1 (-2%)
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match? No 46¢ 46¢ $23 $23 +$0 (+1%)
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $174 in June? Yes 33¢ 2¢ $31 $2 −$28 (-93%)
Will Zdenko Lučić be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election? Yes 28¢ 2¢ $35 $2 −$33 (-94%)
LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%? Under 33¢ 1¢ $43 $2 −$41 (-96%)
Will Puffpaw launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-46%)
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in June? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-83%)
Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17? No 51¢ 76¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+49%)
Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-88%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 12 $961 −$10 -1%
Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026? Jun 12 $286 −$5 -2%
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 12 $1,280 −$8 -1%
Will Qatar be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? Jun 12 $181 −$4 -2%
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election Jun 12 $6 −$1 -20%
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? Jun 12 $67 −$2 -3%
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $116 −$5 -4%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Jun 12 $1,217 −$30 -2%
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? Jun 12 $11 $0 -4%
Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 AL Central title? Jun 12 $37 +$1 +1%
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domest Jun 12 $1,304 −$68 -5%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 12 $297 −$4 -1%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $5 $0 -1%
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026? Jun 12 $63 −$9 -14%
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome? Jun 12 $507 −$25 -5%
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.1B? Jun 12 $237 −$24 -10%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? Jun 12 $1,875 −$46 -2%
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? Jun 12 $96 −$1 -1%
Will Canada be the worst-placed host nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Jun 12 $20 −$2 -9%
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026? Jun 12 $80 −$5 -6%
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Jun 12 $526 −$28 -5%
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in June? Jun 12 $132 −$2 -1%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $1 $0 -2%
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Jun 12 $73 −$9 -13%
Will Iran be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? Jun 12 $1 $0 -28%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Jun 12 $218 −$4 -2%
Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primar Jun 12 $124 −$14 -12%
FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr? Jun 12 $14 −$2 -14%
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 12 $130 $0 -0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Jun 12 $1,852 −$72 -4%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? AND Will Mexico win on Jun 12 $7 −$5 -69%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? AND Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? AND Will United States win on 2026-06- Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 AND Will Czechia win on 202 Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 AND Will Korea Republic vs. Czechi Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026 Jun 12 $408 −$22 -6%
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in June? Jun 12 $112 −$9 -8%
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? Jun 12 $478 −$6 -1%
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 Jun 12 $288 −$29 -10%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +68%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 AND Will Korea Republic win on 202 Jun 12 $1 $0 +56%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 AND Will Korea Republic win on 202 Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: Korea Republic Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Will Morocco finish second in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Jun 12 $13 $0 -1%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? Jun 12 $100 −$1 -1%
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Jun 12 $300 −$12 -4%
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? Jun 12 $10 $0 -2%
Will USD be at least 2.0M Iranian rials on June 30? Jun 11 $142 −$6 -4%
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 Jun 11 $201 −$6 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 33% −$1,801
politics 19% −$401
sports 15% −$215
world 11% −$326
finance 8% −$226
crypto 7% −$148
tech 4% −$130
economics 2% −$17
culture 1% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY 13¢ $0 0m
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY 88¢ $2 0m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14 BUY 11¢ $0 5m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14 BUY 90¢ $2 5m
Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31? BUY No 73¢ $73 6m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 AND Will United States win on 2026-06-1 BUY 74¢ $2 11m
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match? BUY No 46¢ $23 16m
Will Iraq finish last in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stag BUY Yes 82¢ $82 20m
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 72¢ $6 1h
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 72¢ $1 1h
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 72¢ $7 1h
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 73¢ $9 1h
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 73¢ $14 1h
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 73¢ $5 1h
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 73¢ $60 1h
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY Yes 27¢ $27 1h
Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026? SELL Yes 3¢ $2 1h
Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026? BUY No 94¢ $28 2h
Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $6 2h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? A BUY 3¢ $0 2h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? AN BUY 88¢ $0 2h
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? AND BUY 21¢ $0 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 80¢ $0 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 81¢ $81 2h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 19¢ $19 2h
Will Qatar be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? SELL Yes 78¢ $77 2h
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election SELL Yes 33¢ $5 2h
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? SELL No 66¢ $65 2h
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? SELL No 12¢ $11 3h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 81¢ $51 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-16.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 236 -7.8% -16.6% 7% 4% -13.1%
≤30d 382 -8.1% -16.9% 6% 3% -13.2%
≤90d 382 -8.1% -16.9% 6% 3% -13.2%
all 382 -8.1% -16.9% 6% 3% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover219.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.9% 3% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here -24.8% 2% -21.5%
15% -32.1% 1% -29.1%
20% -38.8% 1% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $248.62 · official $314.73 · 3500 history records