Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:33:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E0
0xe08e…1d61
sports · 258 markets active 78d ago
0.0score
−$39,804 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$39,804 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$39,804
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses151 / 107
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)258 / 258
Avg bet$5,808
Trades / day10.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 0 History 258 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes Mar 26 $560 −$560 -100%
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? Mar 26 $390 −$5 -1%
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils Mar 20 $100 +$1 +1%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mar 17 $20,000 −$51 -0%
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mar 08 $4,845 −$10 -0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? Mar 06 $12,697 +$173 +1%
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee Mar 04 $87,863 +$189 +0%
Discord IPO before 2027? Mar 03 $14,475 −$2,208 -15%
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? Feb 28 $55,700 −$18,970 -34%
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading? Feb 24 $850 +$76 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Feb 24 $10 +$6 +64%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February? Feb 23 $10,000 +$34 +0%
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? Feb 20 $122 −$122 -100%
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 mi Feb 16 $900 −$800 -89%
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $20 mi Feb 16 $1,313 −$391 -30%
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 mi Feb 16 $15,408 +$33,499 +217%
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 mi Feb 16 $73,470 +$15,199 +21%
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 mil Feb 16 $3,400 +$99 +3%
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5 Feb 09 $100 −$100 -100%
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) Feb 09 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem? Feb 09 $100 +$147 +147%
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow? Feb 09 $100 +$157 +157%
Will "Polymarket" be said at the Super Bowl? Feb 09 $100 −$100 -100%
Big Game: Odd/Even Total Points Feb 09 $100 +$113 +113%
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? Feb 09 $100 +$17 +17%
Big Game: National Anthem O/U 119.5 seconds Feb 09 $100 −$100 -100%
Big Game: Coin Toss Feb 09 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 mil Jan 20 $48 −$1 -2%
Spread: Indiana (-7.5) Jan 20 $9,000 −$9,000 -100%
Rams vs. Bears: O/U 48.5 Jan 19 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5 Jan 19 $500 −$500 -100%
Spread: Patriots (-3.5) Jan 19 $500 −$500 -100%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jan 19 $114 +$177 +155%
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) Jan 18 $71 −$71 -100%
49ers vs. Seahawks Jan 18 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? Jan 15 $1,400 −$400 -29%
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? Jan 15 $6,784 +$290 +4%
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? Jan 15 $1,000 +$28 +3%
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? Jan 14 $500 +$102 +20%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Jan 13 $2,900 +$328 +11%
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 36.5 Jan 13 $500 −$500 -100%
Texans vs. Steelers Jan 13 $500 −$500 -100%
Chargers vs. Patriots Jan 12 $1,000 +$515 +52%
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 41.5 Jan 12 $1,000 +$667 +67%
Bills vs. Jaguars Jan 12 $1,000 +$1,128 +113%
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 mil Jan 12 $18,000 +$1,800 +10%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31? Jan 11 $125 −$74 -60%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jan 11 $125 −$6 -5%
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jan 11 $250 −$189 -76%
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026? Jan 11 $67,900 +$171 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 38% +$17,304
other 25% +$1,382
economics 16% +$2,807
sports 8% −$43,604
world 5% −$18,459
crypto 3% −$2,451
tech 2% +$1,033
culture 1% +$2,931
finance 0% −$747
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? SELL No 77¢ $385 77d
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? BUY No 78¢ $302 78d
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? BUY No 78¢ $71 78d
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? BUY No 78¢ $18 82d
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes BUY Ohio State Buckeyes 56¢ $560 84d
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils BUY Duke Blue Devils 99¢ $100 86d
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 85¢ $16,908 86d
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 15¢ $3,041 86d
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 97¢ $4,835 96d
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? SELL No 87¢ $610 98d
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? SELL No 87¢ $23 98d
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? SELL No 87¢ $3,737 98d
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 97¢ $4,845 98d
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? BUY No 86¢ $1,940 98d
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? BUY No 86¢ $12 98d
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? BUY No 86¢ $860 98d
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? BUY No 86¢ $1,229 98d
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? BUY No 86¢ $26 98d
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? BUY No 86¢ $123 98d
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? BUY No 86¢ $12 98d
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? BUY No 86¢ $99 98d
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? SELL No 85¢ $8,500 99d
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? BUY No 84¢ $8,397 99d
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee SELL Yes 98¢ $9,840 99d
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee BUY Yes 98¢ $9,840 99d
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee SELL Yes 98¢ $9,800 99d
Discord IPO before 2027? SELL Yes 80¢ $9,388 101d
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee BUY Yes 97¢ $9,711 101d
Discord IPO before 2027? SELL Yes 88¢ $44 103d
Discord IPO before 2027? SELL Yes 88¢ $18 103d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-16.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d 4 -25.1% -32.2% 25% 0% -12.2%
all 258 -7.3% -16.1% 59% 33% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.3 tr/day
realistic slip~14%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.1% 33% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -24.1% 27% -20.4%
15% -31.5% 23% -28.1%
20% -38.2% 17% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2461 history records