Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:58:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E0
0xe092…359f
sports · 186 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$176 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$176 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$68
Realized+$176
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses105 / 77
Est. fees paid−$27
Open positions4
Markets (closed)182 / 186
History coverage18d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day14.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 4 History 182 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$144
7 days+$147
14 days+$86
30 days+$176
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 79¢ 80¢ $43 $43 +$0 (+1%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 79¢ 78¢ $21 $21 −$0 (-1%)
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? Yes 33¢ 32¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-5%)
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? Yes 54¢ 51¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 1 Winner Vivo Keyd Stars Academy 50¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 63¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner BetBoom Team 47¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 41¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner Deep Cross Gaming 35¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Forsaken 38¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 45¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage PARIVISION 72¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: The Bandits vs mCon esports - Game 2 Winner mCon esports 46¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Estral Esports vs paiN Gaming Academy - Game 2 Winner Estral Esports 73¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Yandex 68¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Under 70¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 BNK FearX Youth 39¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BOMBA Team 39¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BNK FEARX 33¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Team Liquid 54¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Xtreme Gaming 32¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Dplus KIA 52¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 87¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Liquid 61¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Anubis Gaming 39¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $30 +$52 +172%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Jun 12 $19 +$5 +24%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $53 +$58 +109%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $34 −$33 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $57 +$68 +119%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $17 +$8 +50%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $44 −$1 -2%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $29 −$28 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $43 −$42 -98%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $23 +$12 +52%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $50 +$35 +69%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $26 −$26 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $61 +$69 +114%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $21 −$21 -98%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Jun 10 $61 +$49 +79%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $43 +$33 +76%
LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $45 +$9 +20%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $39 +$13 +32%
LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $45 +$8 +18%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 10 $23 −$23 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $33 −$33 -99%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $44 −$44 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 10 $61 −$60 -98%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $55 +$51 +93%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $11 +$8 +76%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $3 +$1 +18%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $4 +$1 +18%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $5 +$7 +124%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $4 −$4 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $6 −$5 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $5 −$5 -99%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $7 +$8 +118%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $6 +$5 +97%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $11 −$10 -98%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $12 +$7 +57%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $10 −$10 -98%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $5 +$6 +114%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $8 −$7 -99%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 07 $6 +$6 +89%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $9 +$8 +93%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 06 $9 −$9 -99%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $10 +$10 +97%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $4 +$4 +101%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $4 −$4 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$176
other 0% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 79¢ $21 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 79¢ $43 1h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 36¢ $30 5h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 39¢ $34 5h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 SELL Under 100¢ $25 8h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 82¢ $29 9h
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group BUY Misa Esports 80¢ $19 9h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 47¢ $53 10h
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series BUY INOX Division 50¢ $44 12h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 41¢ $43 12h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 45¢ $57 14h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali SELL LOS 100¢ $35 19h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 66¢ $17 21h
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 65¢ $23 24h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 100¢ $85 25h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner BUY Forsaken 34¢ $26 28h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 100¢ $130 32h
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY BOMBA Team 39¢ $21 35h
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY BOMBA Team 41¢ $4 35h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $43 36h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner BUY Forsaken 38¢ $4 36h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $4 36h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $3 37h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 56¢ $3 37h
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM SELL LOUD 100¢ $110 2d
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 100¢ $76 2d
LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner SELL Galions 100¢ $54 2d
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 100¢ $52 2d
LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner SELL Galions 100¢ $53 2d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 38¢ $23 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-7.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 -7.5% -16.3% 52% 52% +2.2%
≤30d 182 +2.6% -7.2% 58% 56% -1.7%
≤90d 182 +2.6% -7.2% 58% 56% -1.7%
all 182 +2.6% -7.2% 58% 56% -1.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.2% 56% -1.7%
10% -16.0% 53% -11.1%
15% -24.2% 42% -19.7%
20% -31.6% 30% -27.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $67.92 · official $67.92 (match) · 344 history records