Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T01:46:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E0 0xe0c4…75ee crypto 427 markets active 0h ago coverage 22d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 21d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (141 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$16,393 (+11%) realized +$16,393 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR17%break-even
Win rate78%379W / 108L
Whale WR89%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$351per market
Trades / day140.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$100now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 22d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$5,851
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (141 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 181 -6.5% -15.4% 61% 19% -18.3%
≤30d 487 -1.6% -11.0% 78% 17% -11.4%
≤90d 487 -1.6% -11.0% 78% 17% -11.4%
all 487 -1.6% -11.0% 78% 17% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover140.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.0% 17% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.5% 9% -19.9%
15% -27.3% 6% -27.6%
20% -34.4% 6% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
77% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 89% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +0% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
7.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$37 vs −$167 · ×0.22 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.78 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

22d coverage
Net worth$100
Realized+$16,393
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses379 / 108
Whale WR (big bets)89%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)487 / 427
History coverage22d ⚠
Avg bet$351
Trades / day140.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 487 Trades
no open positions (99 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 26 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 26 $97 −$97 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 26 $115 −$115 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 26 $213 −$213 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 26 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 26 $77 −$77 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 26 $131 −$131 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 26 $43 −$86 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 26 $860 −$860 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 26 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 26 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 26 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 26 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 26 $164 −$164 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 26 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 26 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 26 $871 −$871 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 26 $87 −$87 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 26 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 26 $555 −$1,110 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 26 $70 −$70 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 26 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 26 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 26 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 26 $85 −$85 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 26 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 26 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 26 $93 −$93 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 26 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 26 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 26 $152 −$152 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 26 $152 −$152 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 26 $82 −$82 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 26 $331 −$331 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 26 $328 −$328 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 26 $692 −$692 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 26 $206 −$206 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 26 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 26 $342 −$342 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 26 $275 −$275 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 26 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 26 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 26 $264 −$264 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 26 $109 −$109 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 26 $466 −$466 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 26 $256 −$256 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 26 $1,018 −$1,018 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 26 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 26 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $34 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $19 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $18 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $31 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $18 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $16 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $42 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $9 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $20 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $36 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $45 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $15 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $0 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $30 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $27 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $18 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $46 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $45 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $41 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $7 56m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $100.00 · official $100.00 (match) · 3500 history records