trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +64.5% | +48.8% | 100% | 100% | +48.8% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +26.9% | +14.8% | 50% | 50% | +40.8% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -34.2% | -40.4% | 25% | 8% | -15.3% |
| all | 12 | -34.2% | -40.4% | 25% | 8% | -15.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -40.4% | 8% | -15.3% |
| 10% | -46.1% | 8% | -23.4% |
| 15% | -51.3% | 8% | -30.8% |
| 20% | -56.1% | 8% | -37.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31? | Jun 17 | $43 | +$27 | +64% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | May 25 | $6 | −$1 | -11% |
| Spread: Al Hazem SC (-1.5) | May 14 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Will Russia enter Kherson by June 30? | May 14 | $23 | −$1 | -4% |
| Spread: Haras El Hodood SC (-2.5) | May 13 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026? | May 13 | $41 | −$20 | -50% |
| Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5) | May 11 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 11 | $51 | −$6 | -12% |
| Spread: Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC (-2.5) | Apr 21 | $24 | −$24 | -100% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? | Apr 21 | $76 | −$1 | -1% |
| Spread: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol (-1.5) | Apr 13 | $305 | +$9 | +3% |
| Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Apr 12 | $292 | +$4 | +1% |