Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:23:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E0
0xe0d1…82b1
crypto · 698 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$227 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$86 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$425
Realized−$86
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses562 / 123
Whale WR (big bets)95%
Est. fees paid−$25
Open positions12
Markets (closed)685 / 698
History coverage163d
Avg bet$74
Trades / day16.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 12 History 685 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$11
7 days+$159
14 days+$257
30 days+$292
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $50 $70 +$20 (+41%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score No 68¢ 72¢ $50 $53 +$3 (+7%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-1%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $50 $45 −$5 (-11%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $50 $44 −$6 (-12%)
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $50 $44 −$6 (-12%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 7¢ $50 $43 −$7 (-14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 15? Down 49¢ 50¢ $38 $39 +$1 (+2%)
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2027? No 48¢ 50¢ $19 $20 +$1 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 15? Up 49¢ 50¢ $14 $15 +$0 (+2%)
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26? Yes 7¢ 10¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+29%)
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? Yes 20¢ 20¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? Yes 23¢ 20¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-15%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Over 75¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $50 +$14 +27%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $51 +$29 +57%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $50 +$11 +23%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $50 +$19 +38%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $51 +$56 +109%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $50 +$11 +23%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $50 +$14 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? Jun 13 $98 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 13? Jun 13 $73 +$1 +2%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $50 +$20 +40%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $50 −$50 -99%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $50 +$13 +26%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $51 +$53 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $50 +$22 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $73 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $40 +$16 +40%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $41 +$36 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $40 +$18 +44%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 11 $112 +$4 +4%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $40 +$21 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $41 −$41 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $40 +$11 +27%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $40 +$21 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $40 +$7 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $98 +$2 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $74 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $41 +$31 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% −$166
other 7% +$12
sports 4% +$240
finance 1% −$153
weather 0% −$20
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 49¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 49¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 15? BUY Down 49¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 15? BUY Down 49¢ $37 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 15? BUY Up 49¢ $11 47m
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2027? BUY No 48¢ $19 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score BUY No 68¢ $50 12h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Over 78¢ $50 12h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 78¢ $50 38h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 71¢ $50 38h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Haiti O/U 1.5 BUY Under 81¢ $50 38h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 75¢ $50 38h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $51 38h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $51 38h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 72¢ $50 38h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 81¢ $50 38h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $50 38h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a dra BUY 2¢ $10 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Down 49¢ $14 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Down 49¢ $2 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Down 49¢ $0 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Down 49¢ $10 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Down 49¢ $9 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Down 49¢ $15 47h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 13? BUY Up 49¢ $0 47h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 13? BUY Up 49¢ $31 47h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 13? BUY Down 49¢ $32 47h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 13? BUY Down 49¢ $5 47h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 13? BUY Up 49¢ $5 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Up 49¢ $23 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 111 -5.9% -14.8% 78% 22% -4.8%
≤30d 459 -0.3% -9.8% 81% 17% -6.9%
≤90d 603 -2.4% -11.7% 81% 15% -11.5%
all 685 -2.4% -11.7% 82% 14% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.7% 14% -9.7%
10% -20.1% 12% -18.3%
15% -27.9% 9% -26.2%
20% -34.9% 4% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $425.15 · official $435.15 · 3500 history records