Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T05:37:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E0 0xe0ed…25d7 crypto 106 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (109 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$63 (+4%) realized +$63 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR22%break-even
Win rate79%84W / 22L
Drawdown51%max
Avg bet$14per market
Trades / day109.4pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% +$48
sports 1% +$6
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (109 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-6.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 106 +3.3% -6.6% 79% 22% -6.3%
≤30d 106 +3.3% -6.6% 79% 22% -6.3%
≤90d 106 +3.3% -6.6% 79% 22% -6.3%
all 106 +3.3% -6.6% 79% 22% -6.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover109.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.6% 22% -6.3%
10% ← realistic here -15.5% 15% -15.2%
15% -23.7% 11% -23.4%
20% -31.2% 8% -30.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 8% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
71% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +6% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$4 · ×0.41 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.55 per $1 lost it wins $1.55
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$63
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses84 / 22
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)106 / 106
History coverage2d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day109.4
Drawdown51%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 106 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 15 $25 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$8 +148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$6 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$5 -50%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$4 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$8 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$25 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$6 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $35 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $40 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $60 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$12 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$19 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $23 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $25 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $31 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $25 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 7h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 333 history records