Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T05:40:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
E1 0xe100…4d41 sports 104 markets active 20h ago coverage 176d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$214,957 (+24%) realized +$214,957 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR46%break-even
Win rate48%50W / 54L
Whale WR54%big bets
Drawdown29%max
Avg bet$8,625per market
Trades / day14.7pace
Fees−$9,181est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,825
7 days−$13,463
14 days−$13,463
30 days+$7,416
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$144,820
crypto 0% +$1,056
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-1.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -17.8% -25.6% 56% 44% -51.0%
≤30d 35 -2.3% -11.6% 43% 40% -6.1%
≤90d 92 +9.5% -1.0% 49% 48% +12.8%
all 104 +9.0% -1.3% 48% 46% +7.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover14.7 tr/day
realistic slip~14%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.3% 46% +7.5%
10% ← realistic here -10.8% 41% -2.8%
15% -19.4% 39% -12.2%
20% -27.3% 35% -20.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 18% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +24% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +9% · $-wt +19% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 54% (≥$8,583) neutral
Persistence
early +9% → late +9% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
22.8 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$7,096 vs −$3,869 · ×1.83 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.7 per $1 lost it wins $1.7
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

176d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$214,957
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses50 / 54
Whale WR (big bets)54%
Est. fees paid−$9,181
Open positions0
Markets (closed)104 / 104
History coverage176d
Avg bet$8,625
Trades / day14.7
Drawdown29%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 104 Trades
no open positions (25 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner Jun 21 $6,837 −$6,825 -100%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 19 $4,978 −$4,902 -98%
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 19 $4,909 −$4,842 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs Jun 18 $2,833 −$2,781 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 18 $3,118 +$3,875 +124%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 4 Winne Jun 18 $1,900 +$551 +29%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 4 Winner Jun 18 $1,674 +$1,087 +65%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 3 Winner Jun 18 $1,977 +$233 +12%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Masters La Jun 15 $1,375 +$141 +10%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $19,032 −$18,911 -99%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $3,843 −$3,804 -99%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $195 −$195 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $1,198 +$3,139 +262%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner May 31 $6,516 −$6,431 -99%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner May 31 $578 −$569 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 25 $12,082 −$12,004 -99%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs May 25 $8,573 −$8,499 -99%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner May 24 $20,320 −$1,709 -8%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner May 24 $23,227 +$25,340 +109%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 24 $6,686 +$8,952 +134%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 24 $10,391 +$9,678 +93%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In May 24 $38,788 −$4,491 -12%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 4 Winner May 24 $8,396 −$6,785 -81%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships P May 24 $1,707 −$1,668 -98%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 3 Winner May 24 $12,843 −$21 -0%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 24 $18,714 −$2,471 -13%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 23 $5,149 +$17,735 +344%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 23 $8,583 +$20,426 +238%
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner May 23 $2,359 +$2,405 +102%
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 3 Winner May 23 $7,403 −$1,725 -23%
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-In May 23 $4,182 −$2,210 -53%
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner May 23 $5,698 +$122 +2%
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 4 Winner May 23 $9,652 −$9,100 -94%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 23 $1,497 +$234 +16%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 4 Winner May 23 $5,746 +$13,442 +234%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifi May 22 $29,500 −$2,022 -7%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 3 Winner May 22 $10,773 −$10,649 -99%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 22 $3,364 +$881 +26%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 3 Winner May 22 $44 +$35 +80%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 Winner May 22 $2,102 +$1,132 +54%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner May 21 $6,519 −$6,442 -99%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A May 21 $6,062 −$6,062 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner May 21 $6,609 −$5,263 -80%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner May 21 $26,800 +$13,159 +49%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 21 $3,845 +$10,201 +265%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 21 $5,216 +$5,840 +112%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 21 $46 +$104 +223%
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 12 $15,188 +$32,156 +212%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 12 $868 −$858 -99%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner May 12 $2,100 −$161 -8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 47¢ $9 20h
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 47¢ $1 20h
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 47¢ $4 20h
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 47¢ $14 20h
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 47¢ $329 20h
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 47¢ $97 20h
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 47¢ $5 20h
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 47¢ $38 20h
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 47¢ $488 20h
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 47¢ $1 20h
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 47¢ $4 20h
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 47¢ $4,230 20h
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 47¢ $35 20h
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 47¢ $4 20h
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 47¢ $2 20h
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 47¢ $188 20h
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 47¢ $3 20h
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 47¢ $9 20h
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 47¢ $3 20h
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 47¢ $5 20h
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 47¢ $12 20h
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 47¢ $3 20h
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 47¢ $5 20h
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 47¢ $4 20h
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 47¢ $5 20h
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 47¢ $13 20h
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 47¢ $940 20h
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 47¢ $141 20h
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Dplus KIA Challengers 46¢ $246 20h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) BUY Spirit 48¢ $4,978 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2694 history records