trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries | Golden State Valkyries | 49¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Celtics | 83¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury | Jun 14 | $32 | −$9 | -28% |
| Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces | Jun 14 | $5 | +$2 | +32% |
| Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics | Jun 13 | $3 | +$3 | +81% |
| Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings | Jun 12 | $25 | +$9 | +35% |
| Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm | Jun 11 | $30 | −$5 | -16% |
| Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky | Jun 09 | $29 | +$2 | +7% |
| Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces | Jun 07 | $14 | +$15 | +103% |
| Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx | Jun 04 | $10 | −$1 | -6% |
| Toronto Tempo vs. New York Liberty | Jun 03 | $6 | −$1 | -22% |
| Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury | Jun 02 | $7 | +$5 | +71% |
| Las Vegas Aces vs. Golden State Valkyries | May 31 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire | May 31 | $12 | −$6 | -51% |
| Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun | May 30 | $6 | −$1 | -18% |
| Atlanta Dream vs. PortlandFire | May 30 | $5 | −$2 | -45% |
| Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mystics | May 30 | $5 | −$3 | -55% |
| Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky | May 29 | $5 | $0 | -7% |
| Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyries | May 29 | $10 | −$1 | -9% |
| Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx | May 28 | $5 | +$1 | +12% |
| Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky | May 28 | $5 | +$6 | +111% |
| Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm | May 27 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty | May 27 | $5 | $0 | -7% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 26 | $5 | +$4 | +73% |
| Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Storm | May 24 | $5 | +$6 | +108% |
| Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty | May 24 | $3 | +$6 | +206% |
| Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream | May 24 | $5 | −$2 | -39% |
| Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Aces | May 24 | $6 | −$1 | -10% |
| Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Sky | May 23 | $3 | −$1 | -34% |
| Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever | May 23 | $3 | +$1 | +35% |
| Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty | May 22 | $3 | $0 | -5% |
| Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury | May 22 | $4 | −$2 | -41% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | May 21 | $4 | +$4 | +88% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | May 03 | $6 | −$2 | -33% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 30 | $5 | −$3 | -55% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 29 | $3 | $0 | -8% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 28 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Apr 23 | $4 | −$1 | -17% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 23 | $6 | −$2 | -41% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 22 | $11 | $0 | +3% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Apr 21 | $6 | $0 | +9% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 20 | $5 | +$1 | +14% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 20 | $6 | +$3 | +45% |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Apr 19 | $7 | −$2 | -29% |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Apr 18 | $4 | $0 | -2% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 18 | $10 | $0 | -2% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Apr 18 | $9 | $0 | +4% |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Apr 18 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Apr 13 | $5 | +$2 | +29% |
| Hornets vs. Knicks | Apr 12 | $3 | $0 | +13% |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Apr 11 | $8 | −$6 | -66% |
| Thunder vs. Nuggets | Apr 11 | $8 | $0 | +6% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +30.5% | +18.1% | 71% | 57% | +1.0% |
| ≤30d | 31 | +15.1% | +4.2% | 42% | 39% | -4.2% |
| ≤90d | 92 | -8.7% | -17.4% | 38% | 26% | -17.3% |
| all | 170 | -6.0% | -15.0% | 45% | 26% | -13.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.0% | 26% | -13.1% |
| 10% | -23.1% | 19% | -21.5% |
| 15% | -30.6% | 15% | -29.0% |
| 20% | -37.4% | 11% | -36.0% |