Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T10:57:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.5
score
E1 0xe11f…ddaa other 29 markets active 0h ago coverage 82d
TRAPdo not copy ⚠ Small sample
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$9 (-0%) realized −$9 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -13% what you keep after slip
Net edge-13%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 29L
Whale WR0%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$547per market
Trades / day1.1pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit64%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$10
14 days−$10
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
politics 36% −$7
other 30% −$6
world 13% −$1
finance 8% −$2
crypto 6% −$1
sports 6% −$1
economics 1% $0
tech 0% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 8 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 29 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
all 29 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 0% -9.6%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 0% (≥$1,007) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -0% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
— vs −$1 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

82d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 29
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)29 / 29
History coverage82d
Avg bet$547
Trades / day1.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit64%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 29 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 23 $1,291 −$1 -0%
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Jun 23 $51 $0 -0%
Will Jasmine Paolini be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? Jun 23 $1,241 −$2 -0%
Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 23 $1,169 −$2 -0%
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 22 $62 $0 -0%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 22 $1,270 −$3 -0%
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? Jun 22 $33 $0 -0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? Jun 22 $1,219 −$2 -0%
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On May 23 $78 $0 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? May 23 $29 $0 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 23 $27 $0 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 20 $60 $0 -0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May? May 20 $949 −$1 -0%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 20 $1,034 −$1 -0%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 20 $996 −$2 -0%
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? May 19 $984 −$1 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me May 19 $58 $0 -0%
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? May 19 $943 $0 -0%
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? May 19 $1,007 −$1 -0%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 18 $66 $0 -0%
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? May 18 $954 −$1 -0%
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary elec May 18 $1,027 $0 +0%
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 18 $931 −$1 -0%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 06 $137 $0 -0%
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 06 $17 $0 -0%
Will Charl Schwartzel win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 06 $24 $0 -0%
Will Danny Willett win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 02 $103 $0 -0%
Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 02 $94 $0 -0%
Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 Masters tournament? Apr 02 $21 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $1,289 4m
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $51 11m
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $20 20m
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $1,256 26m
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $13 34m
Will Jasmine Paolini be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? SELL No 100¢ $1,239 43m
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $19 52m
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $35 1h
Will Jasmine Paolini be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? BUY No 100¢ $1,216 1h
Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $879 1h
Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $288 1h
Will Jasmine Paolini be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? BUY No 100¢ $25 1h
Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $1,169 1h
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $62 19h
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 98¢ $1,267 19h
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $29 19h
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 98¢ $1,234 19h
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $16 19h
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? SELL No 98¢ $33 19h
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $17 20h
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 98¢ $37 20h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? SELL No 100¢ $920 20h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? SELL No 100¢ $297 20h
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? BUY No 98¢ $33 21h
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? BUY No 100¢ $1,219 21h
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On SELL No 100¢ $78 30d
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 93¢ $29 30d
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On BUY No 100¢ $44 30d
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 98¢ $16 30d
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 93¢ $9 30d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 93 history records