Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T09:37:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
E1 0xe134…b4a7 crypto 1336 markets active 1h ago coverage 52d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 52d only
✗ bot/MM pace (53 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$526 (-7%) realized −$526 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR49%break-even
Win rate63%846W / 488L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day52.6pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$39now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$272
14 days−$204
30 days−$204
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$641
other 2% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (53 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-16.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 120 -25.0% -32.1% 72% 2% -24.9%
≤30d 194 -13.4% -21.6% 82% 4% -17.5%
≤90d 1334 -7.6% -16.4% 63% 49% -16.7%
all 1334 -7.6% -16.4% 63% 49% -16.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover52.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.4% 49% -16.7%
10% ← realistic here -24.4% 17% -24.7%
15% -31.7% 10% -31.9%
20% -38.4% 8% -38.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
22% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -9% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$4 · ×0.39 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.68 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

52d coverage
Net worth$39
Realized−$526
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses846 / 488
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1334 / 1336
History coverage52d ⚠
Avg bet$6
Trades / day52.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 2 History 1334 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 26? Yes 97¢ 99¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+2%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 26? Yes 92¢ 90¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 1 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 4AM ET Jun 26 $14 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 26 $53 +$1 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 3AM ET Jun 26 $42 +$1 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 26 $30 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 1AM ET Jun 26 $14 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 1AM ET Jun 26 $14 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 26 $38 +$1 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 26 $15 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 6PM ET Jun 26 $11 +$1 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 26 $38 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 25 $30 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 25 $6 $0 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 25? Jun 25 $20 +$1 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 25? Jun 25 $20 +$1 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 25 $13 $0 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 25? Jun 25 $20 −$20 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 24, 5PM ET Jun 24 $42 +$3 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 24? Jun 24 $19 +$1 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 11PM ET Jun 24 $18 +$1 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 24 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 5PM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 23? Jun 23 $15 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 7PM ET Jun 23 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 11AM ET Jun 22 $70 +$1 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 11AM ET Jun 22 $70 +$4 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 22 $3 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 22 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 22 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET Jun 22 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$3 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 22 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 22 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 22 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 4AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $14 42m
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $53 54m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 3AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $42 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 26? BUY Yes 92¢ $20 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 26? BUY Yes 97¢ $20 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 1AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 1AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $15 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $38 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $38 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 6PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $11 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 14h
BNB Up or Down - June 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 14h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 25? BUY Yes 97¢ $20 19h
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $13 21h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 25? BUY Yes 96¢ $20 26h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 25? BUY Yes 96¢ $20 35h
BNB Up or Down - June 24, 5PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $42 35h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 24? BUY Down 94¢ $19 42h
XRP Up or Down - June 23, 11PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $18 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 5PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 5PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $4 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 23? BUY Yes 98¢ $15 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 7PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 3d
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 11AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $70 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 11AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $35 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 11AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $35 3d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $39.09 · official $39.10 (match) · 3500 history records