trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +2.8% | -6.9% | 100% | 0% | -6.9% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -6.4% | -15.3% | 42% | 0% | -8.3% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -5.9% | -14.9% | 36% | 0% | -8.6% |
| all | 14 | -5.9% | -14.9% | 36% | 0% | -8.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.9% | 0% | -8.6% |
| 10% | -23.0% | 0% | -17.4% |
| 15% | -30.5% | 0% | -25.3% |
| 20% | -37.3% | 0% | -32.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Borova by June 30? | No | 95¢ | 94¢ | $275 | $270 | −$4 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by June 30? | Jun 19 | $267 | +$8 | +3% |
| Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 0.5 | Jun 09 | $464 | +$24 | +5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? | Jun 07 | $463 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Armenia (-2.5) | Jun 07 | $474 | +$40 | +8% |
| Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? | Jun 06 | $480 | −$6 | -1% |
| Spread: Cyprus (-1.5) | Jun 06 | $477 | +$13 | +3% |
| Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026? | Jun 04 | $477 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Albania (-2.5) | Jun 04 | $454 | +$23 | +5% |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | Jun 03 | $454 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? | Jun 02 | $446 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Nice (-2.5) | May 26 | $39 | −$39 | -100% |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by June 30, 2026? | May 26 | $82 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30 | Apr 19 | $325 | −$8 | -3% |
| US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? | Mar 29 | $92 | −$3 | -3% |