Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:09:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E1
0xe13b…821d
crypto · 191 markets active 9h ago
0.0score
+$3,702 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,702 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$3,702
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses103 / 88
Whale WR (big bets)61%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)191 / 191
History coverage8d
Avg bet$250
Trades / day408.1
Drawdown48%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 191 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,007
7 days+$3,700
14 days+$3,702
30 days+$3,702
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $483 +$218 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $226 +$107 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $304 +$167 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $3,873 −$592 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $4,782 −$21 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $5,669 −$852 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $2,385 +$1,641 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $68 +$31 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $340 +$18 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $2,523 +$276 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $159 −$109 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET Jun 11 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $129 +$79 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $148 +$49 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $158 −$97 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $35 −$5 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 11 $112 +$46 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $35 −$25 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 11 $328 +$236 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $39 +$9 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $162 +$81 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $135 +$193 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $911 −$255 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $149 +$60 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $252 +$130 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 11 $319 +$69 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 11 $342 −$95 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $236 +$192 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 11 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 11 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 11 $210 +$114 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $96 +$15 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $189 +$98 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $401 +$290 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 11 $325 +$163 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $184 −$184 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 11 $97 −$97 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $202 +$343 +170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $145 −$145 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 10 $147 −$147 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $156 +$79 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 10 $318 +$370 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 10 $243 −$63 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 10 $291 +$909 +312%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $85 +$47 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 10 $597 +$830 +139%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3,702
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $208 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $31 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $195 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $32 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $23 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $7 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $7 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $90 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $7 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $25 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $6 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $6 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $7 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $6 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $13 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $63 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-2.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 160 +6.9% -3.3% 53% 44% -2.9%
≤30d 191 +8.1% -2.2% 54% 45% -3.0%
≤90d 191 +8.1% -2.2% 54% 45% -3.0%
all 191 +8.1% -2.2% 54% 45% -3.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover408.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.2% 45% -3.0%
10% ← realistic here -11.6% 41% -12.3%
15% -20.1% 34% -20.7%
20% -28.0% 26% -28.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records