Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:54:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E1
0xe15f…53c7
crypto · 484 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$150 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,217 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$1,217
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses202 / 599
Open positions1
Markets (closed)801 / 484
History coverage32d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day98.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 801 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$860
7 days−$913
14 days−$1,058
30 days−$1,197
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 50¢ 76¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+51%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down 50¢ 24¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-51%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$377
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $0 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $0 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-49.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 485 -66.4% -69.6% 14% 3% -27.8%
≤30d 738 -47.0% -52.1% 24% 9% -23.5%
≤90d 801 -44.4% -49.7% 25% 12% -23.4%
all 801 -44.4% -49.7% 25% 12% -23.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover98.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -49.7% 12% -23.4%
10% ← realistic here -54.5% 10% -30.7%
15% -58.9% 9% -37.4%
20% -62.9% 9% -43.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.00 · official $10.00 (match) · 3500 history records