Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:29:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E1
0xe162…3bad
crypto · 34 markets active 5h ago
0.0score
−$42 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$31 · open −$11
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized−$31
Unrealized−$11
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses11 / 19
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)30 / 34
History coverage2d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day56.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 4 History 30 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$31
14 days−$31
30 days−$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026? No 20¢ 10¢ $22 $11 −$11 (-50%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 60¢ 60¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 46¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +239%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$4 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 10 $11 −$9 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 10 $41 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$2 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 10 $21 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$7 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 10 $26 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$4 -43%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% −$31
tech 8% −$11
other 1% $0
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $1 5h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 5h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $1 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Down 8¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-29.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -22.6% -29.9% 37% 20% -19.1%
≤30d 30 -22.6% -29.9% 37% 20% -19.1%
≤90d 30 -22.6% -29.9% 37% 20% -19.1%
all 30 -22.6% -29.9% 37% 20% -19.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover56.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.9% 20% -19.1%
10% ← realistic here -36.6% 17% -26.9%
15% -42.8% 13% -33.9%
20% -48.4% 10% -40.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.00 · official $14.01 (match) · 123 history records