Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T14:11:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E1 0xe167…b098 crypto 176 markets active 1h ago coverage 37d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$6 (-1%) realized −$6 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -14% what you keep after slip
Net edge-14%after slip
Net WR4%break-even
Win rate86%152W / 24L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day6.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 +1.5% -8.2% 85% 0% -8.0%
≤30d 78 -1.1% -10.5% 85% 5% -10.6%
≤90d 176 -1.3% -10.7% 86% 4% -10.5%
all 176 -1.3% -10.7% 86% 4% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover6.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.7% 4% -10.5%
10% -19.2% 1% -19.0%
15% -27.0% 1% -26.9%
20% -34.2% 1% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 14% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
95% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.12 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.78 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

37d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses152 / 24
Open positions0
Markets (closed)176 / 176
History coverage37d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day6.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 176 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 07 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 07 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 06 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 06 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 05 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 05 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 05 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 04 $5 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 04 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 03 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 03 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 03 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 03 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 03 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET May 29 $5 −$1 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET May 28 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET May 28 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET May 28 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET May 28 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET May 28 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET May 27 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET May 27 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET May 27 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET May 27 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET May 26 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET May 26 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET May 26 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET May 26 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET May 26 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET May 26 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET May 26 $5 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $0 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $4 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 7d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $0 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $5 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 368 history records