Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:02:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E1
0xe167…03a1
sports · 668 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,714 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,005 · open +$291
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$570
Realized−$3,005
Unrealized+$291
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses348 / 319
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$4,010
Open positions1
Markets (closed)667 / 668
History coverage60d
Avg bet$395
Trades / day56.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 667 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$44
7 days−$877
14 days−$4,036
30 days+$6,468
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ 100¢ $278 $570 +$291 (+105%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Weibo Gaming Youth Team 54¢ $172 $0 −$172 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner DN SOOPers 19¢ $199 $0 −$199 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 42¢ $536 $0 −$536 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A NRG 48¢ $561 $0 −$561 (-100%)
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 4 Winner Fluxo W7M 49¢ $148 $0 −$148 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winner Team Falcons 20¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster Challengers 68¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 22¢ $329 $0 −$329 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 20¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Team Liquid 52¢ $937 $0 −$937 (-100%)
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming 41¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 61¢ $368 $0 −$368 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Team WE 22¢ $59 $0 −$59 (-100%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 2 Winner UCAM Esports Club 46¢ $568 $0 −$568 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 51¢ $375 $0 −$375 (-100%)
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner LYON 47¢ $142 $0 −$142 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Anyones Legend 62¢ $136 $0 −$136 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 50¢ $185 $0 −$185 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner DN SOOPers 17¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner B8 11¢ $176 $0 −$176 (-100%)
Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs Berrettini Cerundolo 48¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates - Game 2 Winner TLN Pirates 53¢ $627 $0 −$627 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev Alexander Zverev 26¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner CTBC Flying Oyster 10¢ $168 $0 −$168 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $126 +$107 +84%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $58 +$18 +31%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $230 +$227 +99%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Win Jun 11 $107 −$105 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $142 −$55 -39%
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win Jun 11 $85 +$57 +67%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $109 −$24 -22%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $99 +$29 +30%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $172 −$172 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters G Jun 11 $170 −$117 -69%
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $31 +$49 +161%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 10 $59 −$58 -98%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $215 −$212 -99%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $49 $0 +1%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 W Jun 10 $62 +$94 +152%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $80 −$18 -22%
LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 W Jun 10 $218 −$218 -100%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $91 +$24 +27%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $62 −$61 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $100 +$62 +62%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $410 −$406 -99%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $205 +$205 +100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $158 −$156 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $337 −$329 -98%
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $71 −$70 -98%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $76 −$75 -98%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $205 +$204 +99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $165 +$244 +148%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $81 +$94 +116%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $187 −$185 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $104 +$83 +79%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $11 −$11 -98%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $7 +$4 +62%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $5 +$2 +36%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $10 −$5 -50%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $235 −$234 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $110 +$125 +114%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $78 +$32 +41%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $71 −$70 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $38 −$37 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $105 +$83 +79%
LoL: Barça eSports vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Playoffs Jun 05 $7 −$7 -98%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner Jun 05 $6 +$1 +18%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winner Jun 05 $6 $0 +6%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winner Jun 05 $3 +$2 +73%
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $2 +$1 +70%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $2 $0 +30%
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $105 −$105 -100%
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 4 Winner Jun 04 $382 −$378 -99%
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 Winner Jun 04 $196 +$187 +95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$2,717
other 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $30 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 37¢ $19 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 42¢ $51 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 57¢ $81 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $102 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $233 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 54¢ $51 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 53¢ $76 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 66¢ $76 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $58 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $456 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 48¢ $98 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 50¢ $102 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 55¢ $30 4h
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Win BUY CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 13¢ $20 25h
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 2 Win BUY CTBC Flying Oyster Academy 44¢ $87 25h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 32¢ $87 25h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 51¢ $142 26h
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win SELL Top Esports Challenger 100¢ $142 26h
LoL: Top Esports Challenger vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy - Game 1 Win BUY Top Esports Challenger 59¢ $85 26h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 36¢ $85 26h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 45¢ $109 27h
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner SELL KT Rolster Challengers 100¢ $129 27h
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 77¢ $94 28h
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 77¢ $5 28h
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner BUY Weibo Gaming Youth Team 49¢ $35 29h
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner BUY Weibo Gaming Youth Team 55¢ $113 29h
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters G BUY Weibo Gaming Youth Team 46¢ $119 29h
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters G SELL Saigon Warriors 54¢ $63 29h
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner BUY Weibo Gaming Youth Team 55¢ $18 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 45 -5.5% -14.5% 51% 47% -25.8%
≤30d 377 -0.5% -10.0% 53% 51% -5.4%
≤90d 667 -2.2% -11.6% 52% 51% -10.6%
all 667 -2.2% -11.6% 52% 51% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover56.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.6% 51% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -20.0% 48% -19.2%
15% -27.7% 45% -27.0%
20% -34.8% 40% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $569.55 · official $569.55 (match) · 3500 history records