trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -25.1% | -32.3% | 29% | 29% | -55.1% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -24.9% | -32.0% | 27% | 27% | -40.0% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -34.7% | -40.9% | 23% | 23% | -50.0% |
| all | 13 | -34.7% | -40.9% | 23% | 23% | -50.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -40.9% | 23% | -50.0% |
| 10% | -46.6% | 23% | -54.8% |
| 15% | -51.7% | 23% | -59.1% |
| 20% | -56.5% | 23% | -63.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $15 | +$14 | +94% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $3 | +$7 | +230% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15? | Jun 07 | $264 | −$146 | -55% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8? | Jun 07 | $99 | +$50 | +51% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 25 | $135 | −$36 | -27% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | May 24 | $180 | −$46 | -25% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Apr 28 | $100 | −$99 | -99% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | Apr 28 | $50 | −$39 | -78% |