Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T03:24:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E1 0xe168…68cc crypto 65 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (142 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$14 (-2%) realized −$14 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR49%break-even
Win rate52%34W / 31L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$10per market
Trades / day142.0pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$43
other 1% −$4
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (142 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-6.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 65 +2.9% -6.9% 52% 49% -16.0%
≤30d 65 +2.9% -6.9% 52% 49% -16.0%
≤90d 65 +2.9% -6.9% 52% 49% -16.0%
all 65 +2.9% -6.9% 52% 49% -16.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover142.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.9% 49% -16.0%
10% ← realistic here -15.8% 48% -24.1%
15% -23.9% 43% -31.4%
20% -31.4% 38% -38.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 16% · top 2 26% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late +2% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$9 · ×0.76 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.83 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses34 / 31
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)65 / 65
History coverage1d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day142.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 65 Trades
no open positions (14 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 29 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 29 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 29 $4 −$4 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 29 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 29 $58 +$21 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 29 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 29 $5 −$4 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 29 $11 +$9 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 29 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 29 $62 +$38 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 29 $20 −$6 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 29 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 29 $5 −$2 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 29 $9 +$9 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 29 $4 +$4 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 29 $7 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 29 $7 −$5 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 29 $41 +$21 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 29 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 29 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 29 $4 +$7 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 29 $11 +$10 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 29 $7 +$8 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 29 $10 +$8 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 29 $3 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 29 $10 +$11 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 29 $5 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 29 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 29 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 29 $10 +$10 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 29 $10 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 29 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 29 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 28 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 28 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 28 $5 +$5 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 28 $6 +$6 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 28 $24 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 28 $7 +$11 +154%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$1 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 28 $6 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 28 $1 +$1 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 28 $16 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 28 $7 +$4 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 28 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $104 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 10¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $4 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $79 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $0 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $28 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $29 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $10 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 13¢ $2 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $11 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $71 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $4 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $6 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $4 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $62 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $7 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 170 history records