Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:36:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E1
0xe16f…a33f
sports · 442 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$186 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$235 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$333
Realized−$235
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses263 / 145
Est. fees paid−$99
Open positions34
Markets (closed)408 / 442
History coverage139d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day7.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 34 History 408 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$191
7 days−$213
14 days−$212
30 days−$214
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 93¢ 100¢ $224 $241 +$17 (+7%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 Over 98¢ 90¢ $20 $18 −$2 (-8%)
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 4¢ 2¢ $21 $11 −$10 (-47%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 Over 93¢ 100¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+7%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 7¢ 11¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+54%)
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 24¢ 26¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+8%)
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes 46¢ 81¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+77%)
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+13%)
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 8¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-25%)
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+4%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-11%)
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-15%)
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-24%)
Will Luis Diaz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-26%)
Will Bruno Fernandes be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+30%)
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 7¢ 5¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-35%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+21%)
Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 7¢ 4¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-43%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 6¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes 3¢ 1¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-51%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $50 +$19 +38%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $24 −$10 -43%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $201 +$24 +12%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $54 −$29 -54%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 13 $36 −$2 -5%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $322 −$30 -10%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $50 +$12 +24%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $726 −$59 -8%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $1,544 −$170 -11%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $202 +$24 +12%
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $23 −$2 -9%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $408 −$2 -1%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $39 +$3 +8%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $427 −$10 -2%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $148 +$33 +22%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $101 +$9 +8%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $955 −$51 -5%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $211 +$9 +4%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $244 +$41 +17%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $304 −$25 -8%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $10 +$1 +14%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $500 −$15 -3%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $137 −$16 -12%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $1 +$4 +344%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Will Goiás EC win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $5 −$2 -35%
Will England win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $83 +$22 +26%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $20 +$2 +10%
Will Fortaleza EC win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $5 +$1 +15%
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $5 +$3 +56%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $10 +$5 +53%
Will Thailand win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $10 +$1 +6%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $80 −$7 -9%
Will Atlético Nacional vs. CDPJuniorFC end in a draw? Jun 09 $1 $0 +26%
Atlético Nacional vs. CDPJuniorFC: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $118 −$18 -16%
Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $13 +$5 +37%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $10 +$3 +34%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $10 +$5 +52%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $55 +$5 +10%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $25 +$3 +13%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $40 −$6 -15%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $5 +$1 +29%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $20 $0 -1%
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5 Jun 06 $5 +$1 +16%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-05? Jun 06 $35 +$3 +9%
Paraguay vs. Nicaragua: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $15 +$5 +31%
Will Operário Ferroviário EC vs. EC Juventude end in a draw? Jun 06 $1 +$1 +55%
Slovakia vs. Montenegro: O/U 4.5 Jun 05 $10 +$1 +9%
Georgia vs. Bahrain: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $171 −$7 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 60% −$257
other 39% +$36
crypto 1% +$2
politics 1% −$15
world 0% +$2
tech 0% $0
weather 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 98¢ $20 5m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 SELL Over 70¢ $5 44m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 SELL Over 70¢ $21 44m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 66¢ $25 46m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 96¢ $100 51m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 89¢ $8 59m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 89¢ $17 59m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 91¢ $99 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 93¢ $5 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 93¢ $5 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 72¢ $25 21h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 72¢ $25 21h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 32¢ $14 21h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 94¢ $106 21h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 94¢ $70 21h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 94¢ $42 21h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 54¢ $24 21h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 22¢ $5 22h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 23¢ $5 22h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 23¢ $20 22h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 93¢ $8 22h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 54¢ $0 23h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 54¢ $25 23h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 53¢ $24 23h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $100 23h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 84¢ $101 23h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Monte 71¢ $57 28h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 60¢ $22 28h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 60¢ $3 28h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 61¢ $25 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-5.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 +52.8% +38.2% 61% 44% -12.2%
≤30d 108 +29.0% +16.7% 63% 49% -11.8%
≤90d 305 -6.7% -15.6% 56% 47% -12.9%
all 408 +4.6% -5.4% 64% 56% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.4% 56% -11.9%
10% -14.4% 46% -20.3%
15% -22.7% 29% -28.0%
20% -30.3% 16% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $333.08 · official $333.08 (match) · 1333 history records