Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T17:41:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E1 0xe177…a7cc crypto 67 markets active 1h ago coverage 9d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (61 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$242 (+6%) realized +$242 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -27% what you keep after slip
Net edge-27%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate47%31W / 35L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$64per market
Trades / day61.2pace
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 9d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$156
other 1% +$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (61 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 -4.1% -13.2% 46% 42% -6.5%
≤30d 66 -5.4% -14.4% 47% 44% -10.0%
≤90d 66 -5.4% -14.4% 47% 44% -10.0%
all 66 -5.4% -14.4% 47% 44% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover61.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.4% 44% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -22.6% 38% -18.6%
15% -30.1% 29% -26.5%
20% -36.9% 27% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 20% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
3% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -5% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +15% → late -26% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
6.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$47 vs −$46 · ×1.03 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.91 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$242
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses31 / 35
Open positions0
Markets (closed)66 / 67
History coverage9d
Avg bet$64
Trades / day61.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 66 Trades
no open positions (18 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 25 $105 +$108 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 25 $167 −$81 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 25 $185 −$182 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 25 $164 +$91 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 25 $32 −$30 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 25 $155 +$51 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 25 $124 −$17 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 25 $124 +$105 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 25 $101 −$97 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 25 $62 +$62 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 25 $73 −$70 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 25 $63 −$60 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 25 $94 −$60 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 25 $63 −$59 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 25 $62 +$33 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 25 $54 +$14 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 25 $31 −$18 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 25 $83 −$30 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 25 $11 +$6 +55%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? Jun 25 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 25 $104 −$31 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 25 $125 +$11 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 25 $74 −$64 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 25 $51 +$35 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 25 $52 +$87 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 25 $83 −$28 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 25 $85 −$78 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 25 $52 +$8 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 25 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 25 $53 −$35 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 25 $63 −$8 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 25 $62 +$13 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 25 $32 −$30 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 25 $63 +$142 +227%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 25 $73 −$32 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 25 $72 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 25 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 25 $52 +$15 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 25 $63 +$80 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 25 $31 +$25 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 25 $73 +$76 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 25 $31 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 25 $52 +$69 +132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 25 $42 −$39 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 25 $32 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 25 $54 −$52 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 25 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 25 $83 +$26 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 25 $52 +$151 +289%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 24 $63 −$39 -62%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $213 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $11 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $11 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $11 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $11 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $11 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $11 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $11 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $11 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $11 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $11 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 3¢ $7 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $10 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $79 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 582 history records