Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T03:47:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E1 0xe17e…6887 crypto 1416 markets active 0h ago coverage 41d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 40d only
✗ bot/MM pace (51 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$436 (-6%) realized −$436 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate74%1047W / 369L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day51.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$15
14 days−$15
30 days−$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$147
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (51 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 951 +0.5% -9.1% 84% 1% -9.8%
≤30d 984 +0.4% -9.2% 83% 2% -10.0%
≤90d 1416 -3.7% -12.8% 74% 5% -11.5%
all 1416 -3.7% -12.8% 74% 5% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover51.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.8% 5% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -21.2% 2% -19.9%
15% -28.8% 1% -27.7%
20% -35.8% 1% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
91% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.22 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.63 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

41d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$436
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses1047 / 369
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1416 / 1416
History coverage41d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day51.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1416 Trades
no open positions (25 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $7 −$2 -30%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$1 -21%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$1 -18%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $6 $0 -8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$1 -16%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$1 -16%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $6 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$2 -27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -0%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$1 -18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 8m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 8m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 43m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 53m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records