Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:28:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E1
0xe182…9f09
sports · 57 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$40 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$67 · open −$107
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$991
Realized+$67
Unrealized−$107
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses43 / 3
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions11
Markets (closed)46 / 57
History coverage1d
Avg bet$98
Trades / day69.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 11 History 46 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$67
7 days+$67
14 days+$67
30 days+$67
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 92¢ 100¢ $100 $109 +$9 (+9%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 92¢ 100¢ $100 $109 +$9 (+9%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Under 92¢ 98¢ $100 $107 +$7 (+7%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 3 Scotland? No 92¢ 92¢ $100 $101 +$1 (+1%)
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) Haiti 90¢ 90¢ $98 $97 −$1 (-1%)
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? No 92¢ 89¢ $100 $97 −$3 (-3%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? No 92¢ 88¢ $100 $96 −$4 (-4%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? No 92¢ 88¢ $100 $95 −$5 (-5%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 Under 92¢ 86¢ $100 $94 −$6 (-6%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score in First Half No 92¢ 80¢ $100 $87 −$12 (-12%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Under 92¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Under 92¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? No 92¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score No 92¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $100 +$8 +8%
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Morocco? Jun 14 $100 +$8 +8%
Morocco leading at halftime? Jun 14 $100 +$8 +8%
Brazil leading at halftime? Jun 14 $97 +$12 +12%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 14 $100 +$8 +8%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? Jun 14 $100 +$9 +9%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? Jun 14 $100 +$9 +9%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco? Jun 14 $100 +$8 +8%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 14 $11 +$1 +8%
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco? Jun 14 $100 +$8 +8%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? Jun 14 $100 +$8 +8%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $100 +$8 +8%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $100 +$8 +8%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $100 +$8 +8%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $99 +$10 +10%
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Jun 14 $100 +$8 +8%
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) Jun 14 $100 +$9 +9%
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 14 $100 +$8 +8%
Raphinha: 1+ goals Jun 14 $100 +$9 +9%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $100 +$9 +9%
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $100 +$9 +9%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $100 +$8 +8%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $100 +$8 +8%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $100 +$8 +8%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $100 +$8 +8%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $100 +$8 +8%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $100 +$9 +8%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $100 +$8 +8%
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $100 +$8 +8%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $99 +$10 +10%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $100 +$8 +8%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $100 +$8 +8%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $100 +$8 +8%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $100 +$9 +9%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $99 +$10 +10%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $100 +$8 +8%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $100 +$8 +8%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $100 +$8 +8%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $99 +$10 +10%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 13 $100 +$9 +9%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $100 +$8 +8%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $99 +$10 +10%
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) Jun 13 $100 +$8 +8%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 61% −$187
other 39% +$147
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 92¢ $100 5m
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 2 Scotland? BUY No 92¢ $100 6m
Spread: Scotland (-2.5) BUY Haiti 90¢ $98 9m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 92¢ $100 9m
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 92¢ $100 19m
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? BUY No 92¢ $100 27m
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY No 92¢ $100 27m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 91¢ $99 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 92¢ $100 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 92¢ $11 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Under 92¢ $61 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Under 92¢ $9 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 BUY Under 92¢ $100 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Under 92¢ $31 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 92¢ $100 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? BUY No 92¢ $100 1h
Raphinha: 1+ goals BUY No 92¢ $40 1h
Raphinha: 1+ goals BUY No 92¢ $28 1h
Raphinha: 1+ goals BUY No 92¢ $32 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 92¢ $100 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 BUY Under 92¢ $100 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? BUY No 92¢ $100 2h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 92¢ $100 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Under 92¢ $100 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5 BUY Under 92¢ $54 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5 BUY Under 92¢ $23 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5 BUY Under 92¢ $12 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 2.5 BUY Under 92¢ $12 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 92¢ $100 2h
Morocco leading at halftime? BUY No 92¢ $100 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-8.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 46 +1.6% -8.1% 93% 2% -8.2%
≤30d 46 +1.6% -8.1% 93% 2% -8.2%
≤90d 46 +1.6% -8.1% 93% 2% -8.2%
all 46 +1.6% -8.1% 93% 2% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover69.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.1% 2% -8.2%
10% ← realistic here -16.9% 0% -17.0%
15% -24.9% 0% -25.0%
20% -32.3% 0% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $990.65 · official $990.11 (match) · 112 history records